Li Tu vs Nikolas Baker
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02 | Hard |
16 Dic 2025, 07:45
16 Dic 2025, 07:45
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Li Tu
Li …: 95,9%
Nikolas …: 4,1%
¿Por qué Li Tu?
UTR 14,22 vs 12,00
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Li … | Nikolas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1,04 | 24,51 | 95,9% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Li Tu
Ranking
#394
UTR Rating
14,22 Pro
UTR Ranking
#276
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
9/23 = 39,1%
Nikolas Baker
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 Junior
UTR Ranking
#188
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 166,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4970 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4035 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 152,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 340,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 44,8332 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,9286 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 66,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,8332 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 66,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0303 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 62,8239 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 70,2500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 51,5100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 60,5800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 34,0900 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 6,1230 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,7260 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 129,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5797 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4545 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8420 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 18,0887 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2177 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3340 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7435 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19437
API ID
15213515
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19437,
"api_id": 15213515,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Li Tu",
"player2": "Nikolas Baker",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-16T03:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9592,
"prob_p2": 0.0408,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9592,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 394,
"utr_singles": 14.22,
"utr_ranking": 276,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 39.130434782608695,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 188,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.22,
"ranking": 276,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 188,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7435294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.7435294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.4970059880239521,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 152,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 60.58,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -18.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.833164812942364,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 340,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.40346710544549136,
"rank_advantage": 166,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45454545454545453,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 44.833164812942364,
"bp_converted_diff": 34.089999999999996,
"p1_surface_matches": 66,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 62.82390495449949,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5797101449275363,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 6.122952477249747,
"combined_confidence": 0.65,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 70.24999999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.030303030303030304,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.842017053811314,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 18.08870723503851,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 51.510000000000005,
"surface_matches_ratio": 66.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.725999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 129,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21766835187057626,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.3340000000000001,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.9285714285714253,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}