Marin Dumitru vs Matthew Dellavedova
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02 | Hard |
16 Dic 2025, 04:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Matthew Dellavedova
Marin …: 32,8% Matthew …: 67,2%
¿Por qué Matthew Dellavedova?
UTR 11,00 vs 13,49 — Niveles similares
Marin …
Sin datos
Matthew …
W43-L35
55% WR
vs UTR 13,4
L2
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marin … Matthew … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 7,50 1,07 13,3%
Gamdom 6,62 1,03 15,1%
IA Fair Odds 3,05 1,49 32,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Marin …: +20,3% Matthew …: -20,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marin Dumitru
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #5263
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Matthew Dellavedova
Ranking #437
UTR Rating 13,49 Pro
UTR Ranking #700
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 78% (9p)
WR Hard 3/9 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Marin Dumitru
Sin datos UTR v4
Matthew Dellavedova
Record 2025 43W - 35L (55%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 13,4
Últimos 5:
L L W L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -63,0000
rank_ratio 0,8740
log_rank_ratio -0,1347
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -108,0000
best_rank_diff -166,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -32,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,1014
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 32,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 34,7826
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 19,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,6333
combined_confidence 0,4667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -50,5190
first_serve_won_diff -63,6500
second_serve_won_diff -49,3800
bp_saved_diff -49,2500
bp_converted_diff -44,7200
aces_per_match_diff -1,9400
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,3333
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 55,5556
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -44,4444
weighted_momentum_diff -33,3333
current_streak_diff -6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 3,0544
serve_consistency_p2 5,7955
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,3545
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4370
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2397
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,6388
utr_p2 0,6388
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19441
API ID 15213495
Gamdom ID 524100
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19441,
    "api_id": 15213495,
    "gamdom_id": 524100,
    "player1": "Marin Dumitru",
    "player2": "Matthew Dellavedova",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-16T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 7.5,
      "p2": 1.0714285714285714
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 6.62,
      "p2": 1.03
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 8.13,
      "p2": 1.06
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3281,
    "prob_p2": 0.6719,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6719,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 5263,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 437,
      "utr_singles": 13.49,
      "utr_ranking": 700,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 43,
      "utr_v4_losses": 35,
      "utr_v4_wr": 55.12820512820513,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.37,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.91,
          "opponent_name": "Carl Emil Overbeck"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.4,
          "opponent_name": "James Duckworth"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.45,
          "opponent_name": "Filip Peliwo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.2,
          "opponent_name": "Emile Hudd"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.9,
          "opponent_name": "Tomislav Edward Papac"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:43.115037+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 77.77777777777779,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 5263,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.49,
      "ranking": 700,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6388235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.6388235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.874,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -108,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -49.25,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -44.44444444444443,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 32.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -166,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.1346749033266016,
    "rank_advantage": -63,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -32.33333333333333,
    "bp_converted_diff": -44.72,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 19,
    "serve_quality_diff": -50.519000000000005,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.94,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -63.650000000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.0544270850168798,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.795466337947462,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.354488540893451,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 34.78260869565217,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -49.379999999999995,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -33.33333333333333,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.43700000000000006,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.23966666666666664,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.10144927536232,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}