Matthew Dellavedova vs Stefan Storch
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02 | Hard |
17 Dic 2025, 04:00
17 Dic 2025, 04:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Matthew Dellavedova
Matthew …: 86,0%
Stefan …: 14,0%
¿Por qué Matthew Dellavedova?
UTR 13,49 vs 12,32
(+1,72)
— Ligera ventaja
Matthew …
W43-L35
55% WR
vs UTR 13,4
L2
Stefan …
W68-L36
65% WR
vs UTR 11,4
W4
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matthew … | Stefan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,13 | 5,50 | 88,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,08 | 5,19 | 92,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,16 | 7,14 | 86,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Matthew …: +3,0%
Stefan …: -3,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matthew Dellavedova
Ranking
#437
UTR Rating
13,49 Pro
UTR Ranking
#700
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
3/9 = 33,3%
Stefan Storch
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1699
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Matthew Dellavedova
Record 2025
43W - 35L (55%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
13,4
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
W
Stefan Storch
Record 2025
68W - 36L (65%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
11,4
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Stefan Storch viene en racha ganadora (4W) mientras Matthew Dellavedova perdió 2 seguidos.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 63,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1442 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1347 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 108,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 166,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 32,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,1014 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 19,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 32,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 34,7826 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3684 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 50,5190 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 63,6500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 49,3800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 49,2500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 44,7200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,9400 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,7955 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,3545 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2397 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4370 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,7226 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4362 | |
| utr_advantage | 13,7055 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19443
API ID
15213503
Gamdom ID
524090
Torneo
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19443,
"api_id": 15213503,
"gamdom_id": 524090,
"player1": "Matthew Dellavedova",
"player2": "Stefan Storch",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-17T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.125,
"p2": 5.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.08,
"p2": 5.19
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.11,
"p2": 5.76
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8599,
"prob_p2": 0.1401,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8599,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 437,
"utr_singles": 13.49,
"utr_ranking": 700,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 43,
"utr_v4_losses": 35,
"utr_v4_wr": 55.12820512820513,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.37,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.91,
"opponent_name": "Carl Emil Overbeck"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.4,
"opponent_name": "James Duckworth"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.45,
"opponent_name": "Filip Peliwo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.2,
"opponent_name": "Emile Hudd"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.9,
"opponent_name": "Tomislav Edward Papac"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:43.115037+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.32,
"utr_ranking": 1699,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 68,
"utr_v4_losses": 36,
"utr_v4_wr": 65.38461538461539,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.38,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Zachary Adam-Gedge"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.7,
"opponent_name": "Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Avner Wong"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.77,
"opponent_name": "Sam Ryan Ziegann"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.22,
"opponent_name": "Thanapet Chanta"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:41.048230+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.49,
"ranking": 700,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.32,
"ranking": 1699,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6388235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.4361642947408371,
"utr_diff": 1.7226034947028843,
"rank_ratio": 1.1441647597254005,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 108,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 49.25,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 49.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 32.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 13.705504421190842,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 166,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.13467490332660167,
"rank_advantage": 63,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": 32.33333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": 44.72,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 50.519000000000005,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.94,
"combined_confidence": 0.4666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 63.650000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3684210526315789,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.795466337947462,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.3544885408934535,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 34.78260869565217,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 49.379999999999995,
"surface_matches_ratio": 19.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 50.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.23966666666666664,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.43700000000000006,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.10144927536232,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}