Aryan Karnani vs Joshua Charlton
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02 | Hard |
15 Dic 2025, 05:40
15 Dic 2025, 05:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Joshua Charlton
Aryan …: 38,4%
Joshua …: 61,6%
¿Por qué Joshua Charlton?
UTR 11,00 vs 13,10
(-0,89)
— Niveles similares
Aryan …
W33-L21
61% WR
vs UTR 10,8
W1
Joshua …
W41-L30
58% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L2
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aryan … | Joshua … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 8,00 | 1,06 | 12,5% |
| Gamdom | 7,11 | 1,02 | 14,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,60 | 1,62 | 38,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Aryan …: +26,7%
Joshua …: -26,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryan Karnani
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#5065
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Joshua Charlton
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#994
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Aryan Karnani
Record 2025
33W - 21L (61%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
10,8
Últimos 5:
W
L
L
L
L
Joshua Charlton
Record 2025
41W - 30L (58%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
12,9
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Joshua Charlton ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,9 vs 10,8).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| momentum_diff | 7,1429 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,1429 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 103,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,7917 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,8945 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4995 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6047 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,0472 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19459
API ID
15213498
Gamdom ID
524095
Torneo
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19459,
"api_id": 15213498,
"gamdom_id": 524095,
"player1": "Aryan Karnani",
"player2": "Joshua Charlton",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-15T01:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 8.0,
"p2": 1.0625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 7.11,
"p2": 1.02
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 8.17,
"p2": 1.06
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.384,
"prob_p2": 0.616,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.616,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 5065,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 33,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 61.111111111111114,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.76,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Luca CONNAUGHTON"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Heaton PANN"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Sehun PARK"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Eric Tripathi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Cooper WHITE"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:31.251819+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.1,
"utr_ranking": 994,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 41,
"utr_v4_losses": 30,
"utr_v4_wr": 57.74647887323944,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.86,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.03,
"opponent_name": "Hayden Jones"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.4,
"opponent_name": "Jake Delaney"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.93,
"opponent_name": "Jesse Delaney"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.71,
"opponent_name": "Blaise Bicknell"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.9,
"opponent_name": "Alexander Klintcharov"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:58.384938+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 5065,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.1,
"ranking": 994,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.49947221487527904,
"utr_p2": 0.6047058823529412,
"utr_diff": -0.8944861735601286,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 7.142857142857139,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -7.047217398676335,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.791666666666668,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.142857142857139,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 103,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}