Joshua Charlton vs Jack Bruce-Smith
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02 | Hard |
17 Dic 2025, 04:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Joshua Charlton
Joshua …: 63,1% Jack …: 36,9%
¿Por qué Joshua Charlton?
UTR 13,10 vs 12,39 (+0,62) — Niveles similares
Joshua …
W41-L30
58% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L2
Jack …
W55-L35
61% WR
vs UTR 11,6
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Joshua … Jack … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,58 2,71 63,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joshua Charlton
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #994
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Jack Bruce-Smith
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #1645
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 57% (7p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Joshua Charlton
Record 2025 41W - 30L (58%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 12,9
Últimos 5:
L L W L W
Jack Bruce-Smith
Record 2025 55W - 35L (61%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 11,6
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Análisis Momentum
Joshua Charlton ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,9 vs 11,6).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,3000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 42,8571
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -17,1429
weighted_momentum_diff -12,8571
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 103,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 4,7917
serve_consistency_p2 6,9904
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,6200
utr_p1 0,6047
utr_p2 0,5318
utr_advantage 4,8324
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19463
API ID 15213512
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19463,
    "api_id": 15213512,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Joshua Charlton",
    "player2": "Jack Bruce-Smith",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-17T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6313,
    "prob_p2": 0.3687,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6313,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.1,
      "utr_ranking": 994,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 41,
      "utr_v4_losses": 30,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.74647887323944,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.86,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.03,
          "opponent_name": "Hayden Jones"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.4,
          "opponent_name": "Jake Delaney"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.93,
          "opponent_name": "Jesse Delaney"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.71,
          "opponent_name": "Blaise Bicknell"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.9,
          "opponent_name": "Alexander Klintcharov"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:58.384938+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.39,
      "utr_ranking": 1645,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 55,
      "utr_v4_losses": 35,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.111111111111114,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.61,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jera Staley"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.44,
          "opponent_name": "Noah Brownrigg"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Heaton PANN"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.9,
          "opponent_name": "Tomislav Edward Papac"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.18,
          "opponent_name": "Pavle Marinkov"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:45.208317+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.1,
      "ranking": 994,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.39,
      "ranking": 1645,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6047058823529412,
    "utr_p2": 0.5317647058823529,
    "utr_diff": 0.620000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.85714285714286,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.30000000000000004,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -17.14285714285714,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.832424006235393,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.791666666666668,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.99038782576584,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.857142857142861,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 103,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}