Stefan Kostic vs Joshua Charlton
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02 | Hard |
16 Dic 2025, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Joshua Charlton
Stefan …: 38,1% Joshua …: 61,9%
¿Por qué Joshua Charlton?
UTR 11,00 vs 13,10 (-1,14) — Ligera ventaja
Stefan …
W10-L17
37% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L1
Joshua …
W41-L30
58% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L2
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Stefan … Joshua … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 2,62 1,62 38,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefan Kostic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #6521
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 25% (8p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Joshua Charlton
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #994
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Stefan Kostic
Record 2025 10W - 17L (37%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Joshua Charlton
Record 2025 41W - 30L (58%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 12,9
Últimos 5:
L L W L W
Análisis Momentum
Joshua Charlton ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,9 vs 11,7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 42,8571
momentum_diff 17,1429
weighted_momentum_diff 12,8571
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 103,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,8756
serve_consistency_p2 4,7917
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,1400
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,6047
utr_advantage -9,0692
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19465
API ID 15213489
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19465,
    "api_id": 15213489,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Stefan Kostic",
    "player2": "Joshua Charlton",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-16T01:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3811,
    "prob_p2": 0.6189,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6189,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 6521,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 10,
      "utr_v4_losses": 17,
      "utr_v4_wr": 37.03703703703704,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.74,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.59,
          "opponent_name": "Sam Young-Mathers"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Andrej Paunovic"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.96,
          "opponent_name": "Nikola Lulic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.22,
          "opponent_name": "Anton Arzhankin"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yanko Yankov"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:39.530852+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.1,
      "utr_ranking": 994,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 41,
      "utr_v4_losses": 30,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.74647887323944,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.86,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.03,
          "opponent_name": "Hayden Jones"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.4,
          "opponent_name": "Jake Delaney"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.93,
          "opponent_name": "Jesse Delaney"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.71,
          "opponent_name": "Blaise Bicknell"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.9,
          "opponent_name": "Alexander Klintcharov"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:58.384938+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 6521,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.1,
      "ranking": 994,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.6047058823529412,
    "utr_diff": -1.1400000000000006,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 17.142857142857146,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -9.069212410501198,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.87564579350538,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.791666666666668,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 12.857142857142861,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 103,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}