Kaylah McPhee vs Elizabeth Ivanov
UTR PTT Melbourne Women 02 | Hard |
17 Dic 2025, 07:30
17 Dic 2025, 07:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kaylah McPhee
Kaylah …: 75,7%
Elizabeth …: 24,3%
¿Por qué Kaylah McPhee?
UTR 10,31 vs 9,00
(+1,23)
— Ligera ventaja
Kaylah …
W116-L13
90% WR
vs UTR 9,0
W9
Elizabeth …
W27-L15
64% WR
vs UTR 8,4
W5
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kaylah … | Elizabeth … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,13 | 5,50 | 88,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,08 | 4,75 | 92,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,32 | 4,11 | 75,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kaylah …: -7,3%
Elizabeth …: +7,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kaylah McPhee
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#907
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (9p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Elizabeth Ivanov
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2613
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
86% (7p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Kaylah McPhee
Record 2025
116W - 13L (90%)
Racha
9W
UTR Oponentes
9,0
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
W
Elizabeth Ivanov
Record 2025
27W - 15L (64%)
Racha
5W
UTR Oponentes
8,4
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Kaylah McPhee en racha: 9 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 18,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,4310 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 7,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 12,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 18,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 37,2182 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 45,5500 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 57,6900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 47,3500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 54,8300 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 38,8200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,2500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 38,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 28,5300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5146 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,4117 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3200 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2624 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_advantage | 12,7925 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19477
API ID
15213442
Gamdom ID
524068
Torneo
UTR PTT Melbourne Women 02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19477,
"api_id": 15213442,
"gamdom_id": 524068,
"player1": "Kaylah McPhee",
"player2": "Elizabeth Ivanov",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Women 02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-17T03:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.125,
"p2": 5.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.08,
"p2": 4.75
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.11,
"p2": 5.64
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7568,
"prob_p2": 0.2432,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7568,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.31,
"utr_ranking": 907,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 116,
"utr_v4_losses": 13,
"utr_v4_wr": 89.92248062015504,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 9,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.01,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Chelsea Stergiopoulos"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Chelsea Stergiopoulos"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 6.0,
"opponent_name": "Emily Reed"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 7.0,
"opponent_name": "Marta Pozaroszczyk"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 6.0,
"opponent_name": "Madison Bioletti"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:09.543707+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 2613,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 27,
"utr_v4_losses": 15,
"utr_v4_wr": 64.28571428571429,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 5,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.43,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Charlotte Vanstone-McGrath"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 6.0,
"opponent_name": "Isabella Su"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Sofia Savic"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 7.0,
"opponent_name": "Stephanie Huang"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 7.0,
"opponent_name": "Georgia Campion"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:11.193558+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 85.71428571428571,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.31,
"ranking": 907,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 2613,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.2623529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_diff": 1.2300000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 54.83,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 37.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 18.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 12.792511700468022,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 18.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 38.82,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 45.55,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.25,
"combined_confidence": 0.3466666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 57.69,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.514573260423931,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.411717347536609,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.21818181818182,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 47.349999999999994,
"surface_matches_ratio": 7.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 28.53,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.32,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.431030303030303,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 12
},
"feature_importance": {}
}