Mariano Navone vs Roberto Carballés Baena
Rio de Janeiro | Clay | Round of 32
18 Feb 2025, 21:15
18 Feb 2025, 21:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mariano … | Roberto … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mariano Navone
Ranking
#72
UTR Rating
15.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#82
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
43% (7p)
WR Clay
55/83 = 66.3%
Roberto Carballés Baena
Ranking
#130
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
38% (8p)
WR Clay
35/60 = 58.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 58.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.8056 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.5909 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 316.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 20.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 13.4850 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7.7047 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.3833 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66.4228 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52.9377 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 65.5172 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57.8125 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 83.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 60.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3253 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.0515 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.0600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.3600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4.8500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2.0800 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.1632 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 42.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 43.0800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 8.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7356 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5833 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5833 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.9179 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12.0538 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7.9679 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1062 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0874 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 13.4850 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8459 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
1948
API ID
13483634
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rio de Janeiro
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1948,
"api_id": 13483634,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mariano Navone",
"player2": "Roberto Carball\u00e9s Baena",
"tournament": "Rio de Janeiro",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-02-18T21:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.19,
"utr_ranking": 82,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.26506024096386,
"wr_surface_wins": 55,
"wr_surface_total": 83,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 42.857142857142854,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 130,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 60,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 37.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 82,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.8055555555555556,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5908683314395271,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 316,
"best_rank_diff": 20,
"surface_wr_diff": 13.485043898617583,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.704741379310349,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3833333333333333,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.42276422764226,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.93772032902468,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.51724137931035,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.8125,
"p1_surface_matches": 83,
"p2_surface_matches": 60,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3253012048192771,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.05153567777745849,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.05999999999998806,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.3599999999999994,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.849999999999994,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.0800000000000054,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.16323216111127037,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"momentum_diff": 42.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 43.080000000000005,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7355769230769231,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5833333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5833333333333334,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.917918397689116,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.0537593871543,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.967885387764947,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10622764227642256,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08737720329024679,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 13.485043898617583,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.8458823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.8458823529411764,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
"utr_available": "0.018"
}
}