Juliusz Bienkiewicz vs Norbert Marosik
UTR PTT Krakow Men 04 | Carpet | Semifinals
13 Dic 2025, 12:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Juliusz …: 63,9% Norbert …: 36,1%
¿Por qué Juliusz Bienkiewicz?
UTR 12,65 vs 12,23 (+0,49) — Niveles similares
Juliusz …
W25-L18
58% WR
vs UTR 12,0
L4
Norbert …
W44-L33
57% WR
vs UTR 12,1
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juliusz … Norbert … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,91 1,67 52,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,56 2,77 63,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #1419
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Norbert Marosik
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,23 Pro
UTR Ranking #1767
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Record 2025 25W - 18L (58%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 12,0
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Norbert Marosik
Record 2025 44W - 33L (57%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,1
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 69,3878
momentum_p2 91,8367
momentum_diff -22,4490
weighted_momentum_diff -16,8367
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,9594
serve_consistency_p2 12,1886
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4900
utr_p1 0,5376
utr_p2 0,4800
utr_advantage 3,9757
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19510
API ID 15214177
Gamdom ID 525040
Torneo UTR PTT Krakow Men 04
Superficie Carpet
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19510,
    "api_id": 15214177,
    "gamdom_id": 525040,
    "player1": "Juliusz Bienkiewicz",
    "player2": "Norbert Marosik",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Krakow Men 04",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-13T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.91,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.98,
      "p2": 1.74
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6392,
    "prob_p2": 0.3608,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6392,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.65,
      "utr_ranking": 1419,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 25,
      "utr_v4_losses": 18,
      "utr_v4_wr": 58.139534883720934,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.01,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.8,
          "opponent_name": "Xavier Jakubovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Cian Mcdonnell"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Jonas GUNDACKER"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Uladzislau Tarasevich"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.86,
          "opponent_name": "Stepan Baum"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:02.250042+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.23,
      "utr_ranking": 1767,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 44,
      "utr_v4_losses": 33,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.07,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Radim Paral"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.5,
          "opponent_name": "Jack Karlsson Wistrand"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.65,
          "opponent_name": "Bercel Sandor Takacs"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Filip Poklemba"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.98,
          "opponent_name": "Tudor Batin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:03.338252+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.65,
      "ranking": 1419,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.23,
      "ranking": 1767,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.48,
    "utr_diff": 0.4900000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 69.38775510204083,
    "momentum_p2": 91.83673469387755,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -22.448979591836718,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.975659229208927,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.959356606483186,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.188569704902722,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -16.836734693877546,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}