Juliusz Bienkiewicz vs Norbert Marosik
UTR PTT Krakow Men 04 | Carpet | Semifinals
13 Dic 2025, 12:00
13 Dic 2025, 12:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Juliusz …: 63,9%
Norbert …: 36,1%
¿Por qué Juliusz Bienkiewicz?
UTR 12,65 vs 12,23
(+0,49)
— Niveles similares
Juliusz …
W25-L18
58% WR
vs UTR 12,0
L4
Norbert …
W44-L33
57% WR
vs UTR 12,1
W1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juliusz … | Norbert … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,91 | 1,67 | 52,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,56 | 2,77 | 63,9% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1419
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
Norbert Marosik
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,23 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1767
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Record 2025
25W - 18L (58%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
12,0
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Norbert Marosik
Record 2025
44W - 33L (57%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
12,1
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 69,3878 | |
| momentum_p2 | 91,8367 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,4490 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -16,8367 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,9594 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,1886 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4800 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,9757 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19510
API ID
15214177
Gamdom ID
525040
Torneo
UTR PTT Krakow Men 04
Superficie
Carpet
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19510,
"api_id": 15214177,
"gamdom_id": 525040,
"player1": "Juliusz Bienkiewicz",
"player2": "Norbert Marosik",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Krakow Men 04",
"surface": "carpet",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-13T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.91,
"p2": 1.67
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.98,
"p2": 1.74
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6392,
"prob_p2": 0.3608,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6392,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.65,
"utr_ranking": 1419,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 25,
"utr_v4_losses": 18,
"utr_v4_wr": 58.139534883720934,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.01,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.8,
"opponent_name": "Xavier Jakubovic"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Cian Mcdonnell"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.97,
"opponent_name": "Jonas GUNDACKER"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Uladzislau Tarasevich"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.86,
"opponent_name": "Stepan Baum"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:02.250042+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.23,
"utr_ranking": 1767,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 44,
"utr_v4_losses": 33,
"utr_v4_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.07,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Radim Paral"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.5,
"opponent_name": "Jack Karlsson Wistrand"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.65,
"opponent_name": "Bercel Sandor Takacs"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Filip Poklemba"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.98,
"opponent_name": "Tudor Batin"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:03.338252+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.65,
"ranking": 1419,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.23,
"ranking": 1767,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5376470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.48,
"utr_diff": 0.4900000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 69.38775510204083,
"momentum_p2": 91.83673469387755,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -22.448979591836718,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 3.975659229208927,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.959356606483186,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.188569704902722,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -16.836734693877546,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}