Katerina Mandelikova vs Polina Leykina
UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08 | Carpet | Semifinals
13 Dic 2025, 13:10
13 Dic 2025, 13:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Leykina
Katerina …: 40,5%
Polina …: 59,5%
¿Por qué Polina Leykina?
UTR 10,30 vs 10,32
(-0,10)
— Niveles similares
Katerina …
W34-L19
64% WR
vs UTR 9,4
W1
Polina …
W56-L22
72% WR
vs UTR 9,6
W6
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Katerina … | Polina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,67 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 2,25 | 1,44 | 44,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,47 | 1,68 | 40,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Katerina …: -3,7%
Polina …: +3,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katerina Mandelikova
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,30 General
UTR Ranking
#1247
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
Polina Leykina
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#901
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
83% (6p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Katerina Mandelikova
Record 2025
34W - 19L (64%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
9,4
Últimos 5:
W
L
L
W
L
Polina Leykina
Record 2025
56W - 22L (72%)
Racha
6W
UTR Oponentes
9,6
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Polina Leykina en racha: 6 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,0500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 59,1837 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -32,8163 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -24,6122 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,2655 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,2224 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2765 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,9709 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19521
API ID
15214415
Gamdom ID
525140
Torneo
UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08
Superficie
Carpet
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19521,
"api_id": 15214415,
"gamdom_id": 525140,
"player1": "Katerina Mandelikova",
"player2": "Polina Leykina",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08",
"surface": "carpet",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-13T09:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.6666666666666665
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.44
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.18,
"p2": 1.62
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4052,
"prob_p2": 0.5948,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5948,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.3,
"utr_ranking": 1247,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 34,
"utr_v4_losses": 19,
"utr_v4_wr": 64.15094339622641,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.4,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Ishika Ashar"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.38,
"opponent_name": "Maddy Zampardo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.23,
"opponent_name": "Lara Smejkal"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.11,
"opponent_name": "Alexia Iulia MARGINEAN"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.3,
"opponent_name": "Maribella Zamarripa"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:07.235047+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.32,
"utr_ranking": 901,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 56,
"utr_v4_losses": 22,
"utr_v4_wr": 71.7948717948718,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 6,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.63,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Simona Wirglerova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.87,
"opponent_name": "Oliwia Szymczuch"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Agatha Chytilova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Natalia Klys"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Lea Fojcik"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:14.294882+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.3,
"ranking": 1247,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.32,
"ranking": 901,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.2647058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.2764705882352941,
"utr_diff": -0.09999999999999964,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 59.183673469387756,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.050000000000000044,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": -32.816326530612244,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -0.9708737864077635,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.26554186779858,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.222423961490762,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -24.612244897959187,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}