Adéla Kroisová vs Simona Wirglerova
UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08 | Carpet | Semifinals
13 Dic 2025, 11:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Adéla Kroisová
Adéla …: 50,9% Simona …: 49,1%
¿Por qué Adéla Kroisová?
UTR 10,00 vs 10,00 (+1,53) — Ligera ventaja
Adéla …
W29-L12
71% WR
vs UTR 8,6
W3
Simona …
W51-L20
72% WR
vs UTR 8,9
L1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Adéla … Simona … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,36 33,3%
Gamdom 3,04 1,23 32,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,96 2,04 50,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Adéla …: +19,7% Simona …: -19,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adéla Kroisová
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 General
UTR Ranking #1770
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Simona Wirglerova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 General
UTR Ranking #1635
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 57% (7p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Adéla Kroisová
Record 2025 29W - 12L (71%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 8,6
Últimos 5:
W W W L L
Simona Wirglerova
Record 2025 51W - 20L (72%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 8,9
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Adéla Kroisová en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 71,4286
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 43,4286
weighted_momentum_diff 32,5714
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 7,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 14,8608
serve_consistency_p2 12,7800
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,5301
utr_p1 0,4153
utr_p2 0,2353
utr_advantage 14,2140
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19522
API ID 15214416
Gamdom ID 525141
Torneo UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08
Superficie Carpet
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19522,
    "api_id": 15214416,
    "gamdom_id": 525141,
    "player1": "Ad\u00e9la Kroisov\u00e1",
    "player2": "Simona Wirglerova",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-13T07:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.3636363636363638
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.04,
      "p2": 1.23
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.3,
      "p2": 1.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5091,
    "prob_p2": 0.4909,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5091,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1770,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 29,
      "utr_v4_losses": 12,
      "utr_v4_wr": 70.73170731707317,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.61,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Floortje Chrisstoffels"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nela Odehnalov\u00e1"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 6.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ema Zb\u011bhl\u00edkov\u00e1"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kate\u0159ina Koubov\u00e1"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Lucie Ploskunakova"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:01.108082+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1635,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 51,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 71.83098591549296,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.89,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.35,
          "opponent_name": "Polina Leykina"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Anastasiya Kolyada"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Liubou Murashka"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.58,
          "opponent_name": "Izabela Heinzova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nikoline Gullacksen"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:35.435378+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 1770,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 1635,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.41531159558328395,
    "utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 1.5301485624579136,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 71.42857142857143,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 7,
    "momentum_diff": 43.42857142857143,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 14.21400839867897,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 14.860819714438168,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.779984904094377,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 32.57142857142857,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}