Cristina Bucsa vs Anhelina Kalinina
Limoges, France | Hard | Semifinals
13 Dic 2025, 19:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cristina Bucsa
Cristina …: 68,4% Anhelina …: 31,6%
¿Por qué Cristina Bucsa?
UTR 12,35 vs 12,11 (+0,41) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Cristina … Anhelina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,25 75,0%
Gamdom 1,29 3,25 77,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,46 3,17 68,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Cristina …: -2,5% Anhelina …: +2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cristina Bucsa
Ranking #52
UTR Rating 12,35 Pro
UTR Ranking #39
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 28/48 = 58,3%
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking #179
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #77
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/21 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 101,0000
rank_ratio 2,8704
log_rank_ratio 1,0544
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 636,0000
best_rank_diff -29,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 9,5615
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,4271
surface_matches_ratio 1,7805
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,1865
surface_wr_p2 42,6250
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,6494
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,2222
p1_surface_matches 73,0000
p2_surface_matches 41,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0137
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,1424
first_serve_won_diff 0,1607
second_serve_won_diff 1,6841
bp_saved_diff 9,2345
bp_converted_diff -1,8632
aces_per_match_diff -0,8640
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8854
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6818
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4167
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2222
serve_consistency_p1 9,5390
serve_consistency_p2 4,4318
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 10,0821
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0791
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0272
elite_surface_amplifier 9,5615
UTR
utr_diff 0,4100
utr_p1 0,5071
utr_p2 0,4588
utr_advantage 3,3870
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19528
API ID 15175819
Gamdom ID 501146
Torneo Limoges, France
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19528,
    "api_id": 15175819,
    "gamdom_id": 501146,
    "player1": "Cristina Bucsa",
    "player2": "Anhelina Kalinina",
    "tournament": "Limoges, France",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-13T15:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3333333333333333,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.29,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.31,
      "p2": 3.32
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6844,
    "prob_p2": 0.3156,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6844,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 52,
      "utr_singles": 12.35,
      "utr_ranking": 39,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 28,
      "wr_surface_total": 48,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 179,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 77,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.35,
      "ranking": 39,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.11,
      "ranking": 77,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5070588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.45882352941176474,
    "utr_diff": 0.41000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 2.8703703703703702,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 636,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.234545454545454,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.18652037617555,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.625,
    "utr_advantage": 3.3870301528294102,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -29,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.0544410703549723,
    "rank_advantage": 101,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4166666666666667,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2222222222222222,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 9.561520376175551,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.8631818181818218,
    "p1_surface_matches": 73,
    "p2_surface_matches": 41,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.142359717868338,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8854166666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6818181818181818,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.8639639498432599,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.16068181818181415,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0136986301369863,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.538969423633445,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.431843929217037,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 10.082059779675426,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.649350649350644,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.22222222222222,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.6840909090909122,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.7804878048780488,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 9.561520376175551,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07913479623824449,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.027249999999999996,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.427128427128423,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}