Cristina Bucsa vs Anhelina Kalinina
Limoges, France | Hard | Semifinals
13 Dic 2025, 19:30
13 Dic 2025, 19:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cristina Bucsa
Cristina …: 68,4%
Anhelina …: 31,6%
¿Por qué Cristina Bucsa?
UTR 12,35 vs 12,11
(+0,41)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Cristina … | Anhelina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,25 | 75,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,29 | 3,25 | 77,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,46 | 3,17 | 68,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Cristina …: -2,5%
Anhelina …: +2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cristina Bucsa
Ranking
#52
UTR Rating
12,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#39
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
28/48 = 58,3%
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking
#179
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#77
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/21 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 101,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,8704 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,0544 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 636,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -29,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9,5615 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,4271 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,7805 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,1865 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,6250 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,6494 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,2222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 73,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0137 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,1424 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,1607 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,6841 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,2345 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,8632 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,8640 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8854 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6818 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4167 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2222 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,5390 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,4318 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 10,0821 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0791 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0272 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 9,5615 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,3870 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19528
API ID
15175819
Gamdom ID
501146
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19528,
"api_id": 15175819,
"gamdom_id": 501146,
"player1": "Cristina Bucsa",
"player2": "Anhelina Kalinina",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-13T15:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3333333333333333,
"p2": 3.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.29,
"p2": 3.25
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.31,
"p2": 3.32
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6844,
"prob_p2": 0.3156,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6844,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 52,
"utr_singles": 12.35,
"utr_ranking": 39,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 48,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 179,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 77,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 39,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.11,
"ranking": 77,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_diff": 0.41000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 2.8703703703703702,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 636,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.234545454545454,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.18652037617555,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.625,
"utr_advantage": 3.3870301528294102,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -29,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0544410703549723,
"rank_advantage": 101,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4166666666666667,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2222222222222222,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 9.561520376175551,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.8631818181818218,
"p1_surface_matches": 73,
"p2_surface_matches": 41,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.142359717868338,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8854166666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6818181818181818,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.8639639498432599,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.16068181818181415,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0136986301369863,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.538969423633445,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.431843929217037,
"surface_rank_synergy": 10.082059779675426,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.649350649350644,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.22222222222222,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.6840909090909122,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7804878048780488,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 9.561520376175551,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07913479623824449,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.027249999999999996,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.427128427128423,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}