Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Elsa Jacquemot
Limoges, France | Hard | Semifinals
13 Dic 2025, 21:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elsa Jacquemot
Anna-Lena …: 27,0% Elsa …: 73,0%
¿Por qué Elsa Jacquemot?
UTR 11,70 vs 11,94 (-0,33) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anna-Lena … Elsa … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
Gamdom 2,60 1,44 38,5%
IA Fair Odds 3,70 1,37 27,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Anna-Lena …: -8,5% Elsa …: +8,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Ranking #156
UTR Rating 11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking #186
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 9/16 = 56,3%
Elsa Jacquemot
Ranking #60
UTR Rating 11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #122
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 18/28 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -111,0000
rank_ratio 0,3471
log_rank_ratio -1,0583
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -620,0000
best_rank_diff 11,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -18,3230
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,0435
surface_matches_ratio 0,4222
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 39,2857
surface_wr_p2 57,6087
surface_wr_p1_stable 39,1304
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,1020
p1_surface_matches 19,0000
p2_surface_matches 45,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2632
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,7191
first_serve_won_diff -6,7027
second_serve_won_diff 1,5540
bp_saved_diff -2,7484
bp_converted_diff -10,4433
aces_per_match_diff -1,4170
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 5,5740
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 7,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8824
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 9,4767
serve_consistency_p2 3,7584
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 19,3905
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0039
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0349
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3300
utr_p1 0,4329
utr_p2 0,4718
utr_advantage -2,7860
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19531
API ID 15175827
Gamdom ID 501144
Torneo Limoges, France
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19531,
    "api_id": 15175827,
    "gamdom_id": 501144,
    "player1": "Anna-Lena Friedsam",
    "player2": "Elsa Jacquemot",
    "tournament": "Limoges, France",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-13T17:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.6,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.64,
      "p2": 1.46
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2704,
    "prob_p2": 0.7296,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7296,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 156,
      "utr_singles": 11.7,
      "utr_ranking": 186,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 60,
      "utr_singles": 11.94,
      "utr_ranking": 122,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.7,
      "ranking": 186,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.94,
      "ranking": 122,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4329411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.4717647058823529,
    "utr_diff": -0.33000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.34705882352941175,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -620,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.7484415584415416,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 7,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 39.285714285714285,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.608695652173914,
    "utr_advantage": -2.7859856479527236,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 11,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0582609931445424,
    "rank_advantage": -111,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -18.32298136645963,
    "bp_converted_diff": -10.44325757575757,
    "p1_surface_matches": 19,
    "p2_surface_matches": 45,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.7191241294937,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8823529411764706,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.41699604743083,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.702673160173163,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2631578947368421,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.476655735999882,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.7583945555758893,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 19.390496458238513,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 39.130434782608695,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.10204081632652,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.5540151515151592,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4222222222222222,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 5.573999999999998,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0038571428571428368,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03491304347826085,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.043478260869557,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}