Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Elsa Jacquemot
Limoges, France | Hard | Semifinals
13 Dic 2025, 21:30
13 Dic 2025, 21:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elsa Jacquemot
Anna-Lena …: 27,0%
Elsa …: 73,0%
¿Por qué Elsa Jacquemot?
UTR 11,70 vs 11,94
(-0,33)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anna-Lena … | Elsa … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,60 | 1,44 | 38,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,70 | 1,37 | 27,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anna-Lena …: -8,5%
Elsa …: +8,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Ranking
#156
UTR Rating
11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking
#186
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
9/16 = 56,3%
Elsa Jacquemot
Ranking
#60
UTR Rating
11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
18/28 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -111,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3471 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0583 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -620,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -18,3230 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,0435 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4222 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 39,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,6087 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 39,1304 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,1020 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,7191 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,7027 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,5540 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,7484 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10,4433 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,4170 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5,5740 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8824 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,4767 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,7584 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 19,3905 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0039 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0349 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4329 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4718 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,7860 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19531
API ID
15175827
Gamdom ID
501144
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19531,
"api_id": 15175827,
"gamdom_id": 501144,
"player1": "Anna-Lena Friedsam",
"player2": "Elsa Jacquemot",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-13T17:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.625,
"p2": 1.4444444444444444
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.6,
"p2": 1.44
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.64,
"p2": 1.46
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2704,
"prob_p2": 0.7296,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7296,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 156,
"utr_singles": 11.7,
"utr_ranking": 186,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 60,
"utr_singles": 11.94,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.7,
"ranking": 186,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.94,
"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4329411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.4717647058823529,
"utr_diff": -0.33000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.34705882352941175,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -620,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.7484415584415416,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 39.285714285714285,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.608695652173914,
"utr_advantage": -2.7859856479527236,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 11,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.0582609931445424,
"rank_advantage": -111,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": -18.32298136645963,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.44325757575757,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 45,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.7191241294937,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8823529411764706,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.41699604743083,
"combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.702673160173163,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2631578947368421,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.476655735999882,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.7583945555758893,
"surface_rank_synergy": 19.390496458238513,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 39.130434782608695,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.10204081632652,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.5540151515151592,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4222222222222222,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.573999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0038571428571428368,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03491304347826085,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.043478260869557,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}