Malkia Ngounoue vs Heidi Bulger
UTR PTT Boca Raton Women 10 | Hard | Final
13 Dic 2025, 20:00
13 Dic 2025, 20:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Malkia Ngounoue
Malkia …: 63,8%
Heidi …: 36,2%
¿Por qué Malkia Ngounoue?
UTR 10,00 vs 9,00
(+1,00)
— Ligera ventaja
Malkia …
W85-L24
78% WR
vs UTR 9,2
W1
Heidi …
W29-L15
66% WR
vs UTR 8,6
W1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Malkia … | Heidi … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,11 | 6,00 | 90,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,08 | 4,75 | 92,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,57 | 2,76 | 63,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Malkia …: -20,6%
Heidi …: +20,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Malkia Ngounoue
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1303
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Heidi Bulger
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1852
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Malkia Ngounoue
Record 2025
85W - 24L (78%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
9,2
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
L
Heidi Bulger
Record 2025
29W - 15L (66%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
8,6
Últimos 5:
W
L
L
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Malkia Ngounoue ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 9,2 vs 8,6).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,5185 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,2980 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_advantage | 10,5263 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19533
API ID
15215326
Gamdom ID
525900
Torneo
UTR PTT Boca Raton Women 10
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19533,
"api_id": 15215326,
"gamdom_id": 525900,
"player1": "Malkia Ngounoue",
"player2": "Heidi Bulger",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Boca Raton Women 10",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-13T16:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1111111111111112,
"p2": 6.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.08,
"p2": 4.75
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.1,
"p2": 6.01
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6382,
"prob_p2": 0.3618,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6382,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.0,
"utr_ranking": 1303,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 85,
"utr_v4_losses": 24,
"utr_v4_wr": 77.98165137614679,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.22,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.23,
"opponent_name": "Lara Smejkal"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.55,
"opponent_name": "Adriana Reami"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Shradha Grover"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.79,
"opponent_name": "Samantha Alicea"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.54,
"opponent_name": "Eva Vedder"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:31.927055+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 1852,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 29,
"utr_v4_losses": 15,
"utr_v4_wr": 65.9090909090909,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.6,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.19,
"opponent_name": "Margaret Sohns"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.78,
"opponent_name": "Ruien Zhang"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.61,
"opponent_name": "Mia Slama"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Valeria Isabel Teran Bastidas"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Aliz\u00e9e Poulin"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:36.666422+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.0,
"ranking": 1303,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 1852,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.23529411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_diff": 1.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 10.526315789473683,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.518539356237001,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.298036871651762,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}