Malkia Ngounoue vs Heidi Bulger
UTR PTT Boca Raton Women 10 | Hard | Final
13 Dic 2025, 20:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Malkia Ngounoue
Malkia …: 63,8% Heidi …: 36,2%
¿Por qué Malkia Ngounoue?
UTR 10,00 vs 9,00 (+1,00) — Ligera ventaja
Malkia …
W85-L24
78% WR
vs UTR 9,2
W1
Heidi …
W29-L15
66% WR
vs UTR 8,6
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Malkia … Heidi … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,11 6,00 90,0%
Gamdom 1,08 4,75 92,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,57 2,76 63,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Malkia …: -20,6% Heidi …: +20,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Malkia Ngounoue
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 General
UTR Ranking #1303
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Heidi Bulger
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #1852
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Malkia Ngounoue
Record 2025 85W - 24L (78%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 9,2
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Heidi Bulger
Record 2025 29W - 15L (66%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 8,6
Últimos 5:
W L L W W
Análisis Momentum
Malkia Ngounoue ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 9,2 vs 8,6).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,5000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,5185
serve_consistency_p2 6,2980
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,0000
utr_p1 0,2353
utr_p2 0,1176
utr_advantage 10,5263
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19533
API ID 15215326
Gamdom ID 525900
Torneo UTR PTT Boca Raton Women 10
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19533,
    "api_id": 15215326,
    "gamdom_id": 525900,
    "player1": "Malkia Ngounoue",
    "player2": "Heidi Bulger",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Boca Raton Women 10",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-12-13T16:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1111111111111112,
      "p2": 6.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.08,
      "p2": 4.75
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.1,
      "p2": 6.01
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6382,
    "prob_p2": 0.3618,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6382,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1303,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 85,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 77.98165137614679,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.22,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.23,
          "opponent_name": "Lara Smejkal"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.55,
          "opponent_name": "Adriana Reami"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Shradha Grover"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.79,
          "opponent_name": "Samantha Alicea"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.54,
          "opponent_name": "Eva Vedder"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:31.927055+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1852,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 29,
      "utr_v4_losses": 15,
      "utr_v4_wr": 65.9090909090909,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.6,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.19,
          "opponent_name": "Margaret Sohns"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.78,
          "opponent_name": "Ruien Zhang"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.61,
          "opponent_name": "Mia Slama"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Valeria Isabel Teran Bastidas"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Aliz\u00e9e Poulin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:36.666422+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 1303,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 1852,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.23529411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 1.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 10.526315789473683,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.518539356237001,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.298036871651762,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}