Oscar Brown vs Marcel Volz
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08 | Hard |
15 Dic 2025, 15:30
15 Dic 2025, 15:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marcel Volz
Oscar …: 41,7%
Marcel …: 58,3%
¿Por qué Marcel Volz?
UTR 12,90 vs 12,00
(-0,45)
— Niveles similares
Oscar …
W17-L9
65% WR
vs UTR 12,1
W4
Marcel …
W37-L28
57% WR
vs UTR 12,5
W2
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Oscar … | Marcel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,80 | 52,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,40 | 1,71 | 41,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Oscar …: -6,8%
Marcel …: +6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Oscar Brown
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1196
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Marcel Volz
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1322
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Oscar Brown
Record 2025
17W - 9L (65%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
12,1
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Marcel Volz
Record 2025
37W - 28L (57%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
12,5
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Oscar Brown en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| momentum_diff | 16,6667 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,7931 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4483 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4178 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,8068 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19567
API ID
15215049
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19567,
"api_id": 15215049,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Oscar Brown",
"player2": "Marcel Volz",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-15T11:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9090909090909092,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.88,
"p2": 1.82
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4168,
"prob_p2": 0.5832,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5832,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.9,
"utr_ranking": 1196,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 17,
"utr_v4_losses": 9,
"utr_v4_wr": 65.38461538461539,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.07,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Takahiro Kubo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.07,
"opponent_name": "Guelfo Borghini Baldovinetti"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.85,
"opponent_name": "Ruben Hartig"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.75,
"opponent_name": "Richard Antoni"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Samir Hamza Reguig"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:07.467100+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 1322,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 37,
"utr_v4_losses": 28,
"utr_v4_wr": 56.92307692307692,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.5,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Vojt\u011bch Petr"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Karlo Cubelic"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.21,
"opponent_name": "Mirko Martinez"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.48,
"opponent_name": "Deni Zmak"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.11,
"opponent_name": "Maximilian Homberg"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:32.895964+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.9,
"ranking": 1196,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 1322,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4178494571041695,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": -0.44827961461455956,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 16.66666666666667,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -3.8067674656389916,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.793126455003142,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}