Pavel Lagutin vs Tomas Curras Abasolo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08 | Hard |
18 Dic 2025, 17:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Pavel Lagutin
Pavel …: 58,5% Tomas …: 41,5%
¿Por qué Pavel Lagutin?
Pavel …
W57-L16
78% WR
vs UTR 12,3
W1
Tomas …
Sin datos
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pavel … Tomas … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,00 57,9%
Gamdom 1,18 3,72 84,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,71 2,41 58,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Pavel …: +4,8% Tomas …: -4,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pavel Lagutin
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #733
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 86% (7p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Tomas Curras Abasolo
Ranking #-
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Pavel Lagutin
Record 2025 57W - 16L (78%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
W L W L L
Tomas Curras Abasolo
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 37,5000
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,7812
serve_consistency_p2 5,9011
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,6471
utr_p2 0,6471
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19579
API ID 15215075
Gamdom ID 525767
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19579,
    "api_id": 15215075,
    "gamdom_id": 525767,
    "player1": "Pavel Lagutin",
    "player2": "Tomas Curras Abasolo",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-18T13:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.7272727272727273,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.18,
      "p2": 3.72
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.63,
      "p2": 2.16
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.585,
    "prob_p2": 0.415,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.585,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.44,
      "utr_ranking": 733,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 57,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 78.08219178082192,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.33,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.29,
          "opponent_name": "Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.72,
          "opponent_name": "Pedro Rodenas"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.6,
          "opponent_name": "Xavi Palomar"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.63,
          "opponent_name": "Abel Forger"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.5,
          "opponent_name": "Tiago Cacao"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:10.072359+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 85.71428571428571,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.44,
      "ranking": 733,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6470588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.6470588235294118,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 49.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.781232055235212,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.901076449283983,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 37.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}