Julio Cesar Porras vs Hugo Maia
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08 | Hard |
18 Dic 2025, 13:00
18 Dic 2025, 13:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hugo Maia
Julio …: 46,5%
Hugo …: 53,5%
¿Por qué Hugo Maia?
UTR 13,39 vs 12,60
(+0,77)
— Niveles similares
Julio …
W33-L19
63% WR
vs UTR 13,1
L1
Hugo …
W34-L27
56% WR
vs UTR 12,5
L4
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Julio … | Hugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 2,15 | 1,87 | 46,5% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Julio Cesar Porras
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#774
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (8p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Hugo Maia
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1468
Forma L5
0% (3p)
Forma L10
0% (3p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Julio Cesar Porras
Record 2025
33W - 19L (63%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
13,1
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
L
Hugo Maia
Record 2025
34W - 27L (56%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
12,5
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Julio Cesar Porras ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,1 vs 12,5).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,2267 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -36,7200 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -51,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -30,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -63,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -50,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 51,0204 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 51,0204 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 38,2653 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 140,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,2413 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6494 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5588 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,8622 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19583
API ID
15215067
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19583,
"api_id": 15215067,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Julio Cesar Porras",
"player2": "Hugo Maia",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-18T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4646,
"prob_p2": 0.5354,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5354,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.39,
"utr_ranking": 774,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 33,
"utr_v4_losses": 19,
"utr_v4_wr": 63.46153846153846,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.08,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.49,
"opponent_name": "Harold Huens"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.79,
"opponent_name": "Svyatoslav Gulin"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.39,
"opponent_name": "Patrick Schoen"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.16,
"opponent_name": "Noah Lopez Cherubino"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.96,
"opponent_name": "Raul Brancaccio"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:01.890100+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.6,
"utr_ranking": 1468,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 34,
"utr_v4_losses": 27,
"utr_v4_wr": 55.73770491803278,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.48,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.44,
"opponent_name": "Obrad Markovski"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "JanMagnus Johnson"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Leandro Zgraggen"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.44,
"opponent_name": "Freddy MURRAY"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.42,
"opponent_name": "Sasa Markovic"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:40.157265+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.39,
"ranking": 774,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.6,
"ranking": 1468,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6494117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.5588235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.7699999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 51.02040816326531,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -63.6,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 51.02040816326531,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 5.862200228397409,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": -50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": -36.72,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -51.2,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.241327879152896,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -30.4,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 38.265306122448976,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 140,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.2266666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}