Miguel Avendano Cadena vs Julio Cesar Porras
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08 | Hard |
16 Dic 2025, 20:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Julio Cesar Porras
Miguel …: 43,2% Julio …: 56,8%
¿Por qué Julio Cesar Porras?
Miguel …
W0-L0
0% WR
vs UTR 0,0
Julio …
W33-L19
63% WR
vs UTR 13,1
L1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Miguel … Julio … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,50 1,17 22,2%
Gamdom 4,07 1,14 24,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,32 1,76 43,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Miguel …: +22,6% Julio …: -22,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Miguel Avendano Cadena
Ranking #-
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Julio Cesar Porras
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #774
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (6p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Miguel Avendano Cadena
Record 2025 0W - 0L (0%)
Racha -
UTR Oponentes 0,0
Julio Cesar Porras
Record 2025 33W - 19L (63%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 13,1
Últimos 5:
L W L L L
Análisis Momentum
Julio Cesar Porras ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,1 vs 0,0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 0,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 51,0204
momentum_diff -1,0204
weighted_momentum_diff -13,2653
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 5,2413
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,6494
utr_p2 0,6494
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19585
API ID 15215061
Gamdom ID 525778
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19585,
    "api_id": 15215061,
    "gamdom_id": 525778,
    "player1": "Miguel Avendano Cadena",
    "player2": "Julio Cesar Porras",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-16T16:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.5,
      "p2": 1.1666666666666667
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.07,
      "p2": 1.14
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.58,
      "p2": 1.16
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4319,
    "prob_p2": 0.5681,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5681,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 0,
      "utr_v4_losses": 0,
      "utr_v4_wr": 0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 0,
      "utr_v4_recent": [],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:49.356406+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.39,
      "utr_ranking": 774,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 33,
      "utr_v4_losses": 19,
      "utr_v4_wr": 63.46153846153846,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.08,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.49,
          "opponent_name": "Harold Huens"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.79,
          "opponent_name": "Svyatoslav Gulin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.39,
          "opponent_name": "Patrick Schoen"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.16,
          "opponent_name": "Noah Lopez Cherubino"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.96,
          "opponent_name": "Raul Brancaccio"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:01.890100+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.39,
      "ranking": 774,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6494117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.6494117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 51.02040816326531,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -1.0204081632653086,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.241327879152896,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -13.265306122448976,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}