Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Hugo Maia
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08 | Hard |
18 Dic 2025, 17:15
18 Dic 2025, 17:15
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Sam …: 73,4%
Hugo …: 26,7%
¿Por qué Sam Ryan Ziegann?
UTR 12,76 vs 12,60
(+0,02)
— Niveles similares
Sam …
W34-L37
48% WR
vs UTR 12,5
L1
Hugo …
W34-L27
56% WR
vs UTR 12,5
L4
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (32%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sam … | Hugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,38 | 65,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,44 | 2,30 | 69,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,36 | 3,75 | 73,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sam …: +12,6%
Hugo …: -12,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,76 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1340
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
71% (7p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Hugo Maia
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1468
Forma L5
0% (3p)
Forma L10
0% (3p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Record 2025
34W - 37L (48%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,5
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
L
Hugo Maia
Record 2025
34W - 27L (56%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
12,5
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,7200 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 32,1300 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 20,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 19,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 8,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 45,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 140,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,5823 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5588 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,1567 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19590
API ID
15215056
Gamdom ID
525806
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19590,
"api_id": 15215056,
"gamdom_id": 525806,
"player1": "Sam Ryan Ziegann",
"player2": "Hugo Maia",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-18T13:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5333333333333332,
"p2": 2.375
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.3
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.51,
"p2": 2.4
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7335,
"prob_p2": 0.2665,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7335,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.76,
"utr_ranking": 1340,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 34,
"utr_v4_losses": 37,
"utr_v4_wr": 47.88732394366197,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.54,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.38,
"opponent_name": "Stefan Storch"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Naufal Siddiq Kamaruzzaman"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.22,
"opponent_name": "Thanapet Chanta"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.48,
"opponent_name": "John Echeverria"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.57,
"opponent_name": "Tiago Torres"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:27.580829+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.6,
"utr_ranking": 1468,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 34,
"utr_v4_losses": 27,
"utr_v4_wr": 55.73770491803278,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.48,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.44,
"opponent_name": "Obrad Markovski"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "JanMagnus Johnson"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Leandro Zgraggen"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.44,
"opponent_name": "Freddy MURRAY"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.42,
"opponent_name": "Sasa Markovic"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:40.157265+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.76,
"ranking": 1340,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.6,
"ranking": 1468,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5611764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.5588235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.019999999999999574,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.800000000000004,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 60.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.15673981191222236,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": 50.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 32.129999999999995,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 8.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.31999999999999995,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 20.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.582338623546711,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 19.6,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 45.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 140,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.719999999999997,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}