Marshall Tutu vs Alexandre Verlaguet
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08 | Hard |
17 Dic 2025, 14:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marshall Tutu
Marshall …: 59,1% Alexandre …: 40,9%
¿Por qué Marshall Tutu?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,00 (+0,42) — Niveles similares
Marshall …
W36-L30
55% WR
vs UTR 12,3
L1
Alexandre …
W31-L16
66% WR
vs UTR 11,4
L2
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marshall … Alexandre … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,38 65,2%
Gamdom 1,37 2,55 73,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,69 2,45 59,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Marshall …: -1,6% Alexandre …: +1,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marshall Tutu
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #1705
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 57% (7p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Alexandre Verlaguet
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2146
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Marshall Tutu
Record 2025 36W - 30L (55%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
L W L L W
Alexandre Verlaguet
Record 2025 31W - 16L (66%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 11,4
Últimos 5:
L L W W L
Análisis Momentum
Marshall Tutu ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,3 vs 11,4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1667
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 55,5556
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 5,5556
weighted_momentum_diff 16,6667
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,9031
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4188
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,4213
utr_advantage 3,5521
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19596
API ID 15215052
Gamdom ID 525772
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19596,
    "api_id": 15215052,
    "gamdom_id": 525772,
    "player1": "Marshall Tutu",
    "player2": "Alexandre Verlaguet",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-17T10:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5333333333333332,
      "p2": 2.375
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.37,
      "p2": 2.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.55,
      "p2": 2.3
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5914,
    "prob_p2": 0.4086,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5914,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1705,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 36,
      "utr_v4_losses": 30,
      "utr_v4_wr": 54.54545454545454,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.25,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.84,
          "opponent_name": "Marcel Volz"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.5,
          "opponent_name": "Pavel Lagutin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.02,
          "opponent_name": "Christopher Bulus"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.03,
          "opponent_name": "Gergely Madarasz"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Bruno Ouvidor"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:38.201861+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2146,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 31,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 65.95744680851064,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.38,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "YOUSSEF KADIRI HASSANI"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Shamirul Das"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tanapatt Nirundorn"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Felix Felsmann"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Logan Tomovski"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:10.986280+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1705,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2146,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.42131579189387147,
    "utr_diff": 0.4188157689020926,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 5.555555555555557,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.5521182040533437,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.903092955421092,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 16.66666666666667,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}