Sebastian Fanselow vs Deni Zmak
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08 | Hard |
16 Dic 2025, 14:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sebastian Fanselow
Sebastian …: 87,5% Deni …: 12,6%
¿Por qué Sebastian Fanselow?
UTR 13,04 vs 13,00 (+1,03) — Ligera ventaja
Sebastian …
W21-L20
51% WR
vs UTR 13,1
W4
Deni …
W20-L7
74% WR
vs UTR 12,6
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (38%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sebastian … Deni … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,14 7,97 87,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Fanselow
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #1058
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Hard 2/3 = 66,7%
Deni Zmak
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #765
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sebastian Fanselow
Record 2025 21W - 20L (51%)
Racha 4W
UTR Oponentes 13,1
Últimos 5:
W W W W L
Deni Zmak
Record 2025 20W - 7L (74%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,6
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Sebastian Fanselow en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 41,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,6250
surface_matches_ratio 12,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,6667
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 0,0000
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3800
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 59,7600
first_serve_won_diff 69,6000
second_serve_won_diff 58,2000
bp_saved_diff 62,2000
bp_converted_diff 29,6000
aces_per_match_diff 3,7500
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1667
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 55,5556
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 5,5556
weighted_momentum_diff 16,6667
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4286
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 0,7883
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0833
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,0314
utr_p1 0,6188
utr_p2 0,4975
utr_advantage 8,0927
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19599
API ID 15215053
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19599,
    "api_id": 15215053,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Sebastian Fanselow",
    "player2": "Deni Zmak",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-16T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8745,
    "prob_p2": 0.1255,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8745,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.04,
      "utr_ranking": 1058,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 21,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 51.21951219512195,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.12,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.9,
          "opponent_name": "Goncalo Quintela"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.36,
          "opponent_name": "Karol Malirz"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.66,
          "opponent_name": "Jack Loge"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.25,
          "opponent_name": "Joao Domingues"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.17,
          "opponent_name": "Alastair Gray"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:31.652872+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.0,
      "utr_ranking": 765,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 20,
      "utr_v4_losses": 7,
      "utr_v4_wr": 74.07407407407408,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.6,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Radu David Turcanu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.01,
          "opponent_name": "Ali Habib"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.21,
          "opponent_name": "Mirko Martinez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.11,
          "opponent_name": "Maximilian Homberg"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.84,
          "opponent_name": "Marcel Volz"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:01.332445+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.04,
      "ranking": 1058,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.0,
      "ranking": 765,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6188235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.49748717779845086,
    "utr_diff": 1.0313589887131673,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 62.20000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 5.555555555555557,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 8.092695002895313,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 41.66666666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": 29.600000000000005,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 59.76,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.75,
    "combined_confidence": 0.38,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 69.6,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 0.7883482756779961,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 58.20000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 12.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 16.66666666666667,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08333333333333326,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.625,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}