Sebastian Fanselow vs Deni Zmak
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08 | Hard |
16 Dic 2025, 14:00
16 Dic 2025, 14:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sebastian Fanselow
Sebastian …: 87,5%
Deni …: 12,6%
¿Por qué Sebastian Fanselow?
UTR 13,04 vs 13,00
(+1,03)
— Ligera ventaja
Sebastian …
W21-L20
51% WR
vs UTR 13,1
W4
Deni …
W20-L7
74% WR
vs UTR 12,6
L1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (38%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sebastian … | Deni … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1,14 | 7,97 | 87,5% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Fanselow
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1058
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Deni Zmak
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#765
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sebastian Fanselow
Record 2025
21W - 20L (51%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
13,1
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Deni Zmak
Record 2025
20W - 7L (74%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,6
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Sebastian Fanselow en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,6250 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 12,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 59,7600 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 69,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 58,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 62,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 29,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,7500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 5,5556 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 16,6667 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0,7883 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0833 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0314 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4975 | |
| utr_advantage | 8,0927 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19599
API ID
15215053
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19599,
"api_id": 15215053,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sebastian Fanselow",
"player2": "Deni Zmak",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 08",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-16T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8745,
"prob_p2": 0.1255,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8745,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.04,
"utr_ranking": 1058,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 21,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 51.21951219512195,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.12,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.9,
"opponent_name": "Goncalo Quintela"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.36,
"opponent_name": "Karol Malirz"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.66,
"opponent_name": "Jack Loge"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.25,
"opponent_name": "Joao Domingues"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.17,
"opponent_name": "Alastair Gray"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:31.652872+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.0,
"utr_ranking": 765,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 20,
"utr_v4_losses": 7,
"utr_v4_wr": 74.07407407407408,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.6,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Radu David Turcanu"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.01,
"opponent_name": "Ali Habib"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.21,
"opponent_name": "Mirko Martinez"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.11,
"opponent_name": "Maximilian Homberg"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.84,
"opponent_name": "Marcel Volz"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:01.332445+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.04,
"ranking": 1058,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.0,
"ranking": 765,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6188235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.49748717779845086,
"utr_diff": 1.0313589887131673,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 62.20000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 5.555555555555557,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 8.092695002895313,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 41.66666666666667,
"bp_converted_diff": 29.600000000000005,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 59.76,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.75,
"combined_confidence": 0.38,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 69.6,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 0.7883482756779961,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 58.20000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 12.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 16.66666666666667,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08333333333333326,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.625,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}