Pierre Mouesca vs Stijn Paardekooper
UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 02 | Hard |
16 Dic 2025, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Pierre Mouesca
Pierre …: 51,1% Stijn …: 48,9%
¿Por qué Pierre Mouesca?
UTR 13,00 vs 13,06 — Niveles similares
Pierre …
Sin datos
Stijn …
W104-L36
74% WR
vs UTR 12,5
W3
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pierre … Stijn … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,75 1,25 26,7%
Gamdom 3,38 1,20 29,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,96 2,05 51,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Pierre …: +26,1% Stijn …: -26,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pierre Mouesca
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,00 General
UTR Ranking #1528
Forma L5 100% (2p)
Forma L10 100% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Stijn Paardekooper
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #1044
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (6p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Pierre Mouesca
Sin datos UTR v4
Stijn Paardekooper
Record 2025 104W - 36L (74%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 12,5
Últimos 5:
W W W L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -14,0000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 6,1076
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,6165
utr_p2 0,6165
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19625
API ID 15212301
Gamdom ID 523491
Torneo UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 02
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19625,
    "api_id": 15212301,
    "gamdom_id": 523491,
    "player1": "Pierre Mouesca",
    "player2": "Stijn Paardekooper",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-16T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.38,
      "p2": 1.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.69,
      "p2": 1.24
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5113,
    "prob_p2": 0.4887,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5113,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1528,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.06,
      "utr_ranking": 1044,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 104,
      "utr_v4_losses": 36,
      "utr_v4_wr": 74.28571428571429,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.51,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Hikaru Takahashi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oren Ezerzer"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.64,
          "opponent_name": "Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.11,
          "opponent_name": "Ryan Fishback"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.03,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriele Vulpitta"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:41.739445+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.0,
      "ranking": 1528,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.06,
      "ranking": 1044,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6164705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.6164705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.107627764321635,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -14.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}