Sebastian Chodura vs Adam Jurajda
UTR PTT Olomouc Men 08 | Carpet |
16 Dic 2025, 15:00
16 Dic 2025, 15:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sebastian Chodura
Sebastian …: 53,8%
Adam …: 46,2%
¿Por qué Sebastian Chodura?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,00
(+0,26)
— Niveles similares
Sebastian …
W20-L28
42% WR
vs UTR 11,5
L2
Adam …
W29-L15
66% WR
vs UTR 12,1
W4
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sebastian … | Adam … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 6,50 | 1,10 | 15,4% |
| Gamdom | 5,29 | 1,07 | 18,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,86 | 2,16 | 53,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sebastian …: +39,3%
Adam …: -39,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Chodura
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#3169
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
Adam Jurajda
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2061
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sebastian Chodura
Record 2025
20W - 28L (42%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
11,5
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
W
Adam Jurajda
Record 2025
29W - 15L (66%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
12,1
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Adam Jurajda viene en racha ganadora (4W) mientras Sebastian Chodura perdió 2 seguidos.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2580 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5009 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,1269 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19646
API ID
15213785
Gamdom ID
524597
Torneo
UTR PTT Olomouc Men 08
Superficie
Carpet
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19646,
"api_id": 15213785,
"gamdom_id": 524597,
"player1": "Sebastian Chodura",
"player2": "Adam Jurajda",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Olomouc Men 08",
"surface": "carpet",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-16T11:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 6.5,
"p2": 1.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 5.29,
"p2": 1.07
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 8.17,
"p2": 1.07
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5376,
"prob_p2": 0.4624,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5376,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 3169,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 20,
"utr_v4_losses": 28,
"utr_v4_wr": 41.66666666666667,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.46,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.22,
"opponent_name": "Jakub Jedrzejczak"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Nicolas Moser"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Brad Sy-A-Foek"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Uladzislau Tarasevich"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Adrian Vorhemus"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:31.362282+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 2061,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 29,
"utr_v4_losses": 15,
"utr_v4_wr": 65.9090909090909,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.06,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Jaroslav POSPISIL"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Patrik Homola"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "David Schwarc"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.74,
"opponent_name": "Achilles Belkovics"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.6,
"opponent_name": "Sebastian Prechtel"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:00.831531+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 3169,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 2061,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5009385180781216,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 0.2579774036640341,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 2.126948998023784,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}