Vitek Horak vs Louis Van Herck
UTR PTT Olomouc Men 08 | Carpet |
15 Dic 2025, 16:30
15 Dic 2025, 16:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Louis Van Herck
Vitek …: 39,2%
Louis …: 60,8%
¿Por qué Louis Van Herck?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,87
(-1,60)
— Ligera ventaja
Vitek …
W45-L21
68% WR
vs UTR 11,5
L1
Louis …
W35-L24
59% WR
vs UTR 12,0
W3
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Vitek … | Louis … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,75 | 1,25 | 26,7% |
| Gamdom | 3,09 | 1,24 | 32,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,55 | 1,64 | 39,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Vitek …: +14,2%
Louis …: -14,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vitek Horak
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2867
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
Louis Van Herck
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,87 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1227
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Vitek Horak
Record 2025
45W - 21L (68%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
11,5
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
W
Louis Van Herck
Record 2025
35W - 24L (59%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
12,0
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Louis Van Herck en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 69,3878 | |
| momentum_diff | -19,3878 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -27,0408 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,1434 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,6015 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3869 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5753 | |
| utr_advantage | -13,2477 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19659
API ID
15213798
Gamdom ID
524574
Torneo
UTR PTT Olomouc Men 08
Superficie
Carpet
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19659,
"api_id": 15213798,
"gamdom_id": 524574,
"player1": "Vitek Horak",
"player2": "Louis Van Herck",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Olomouc Men 08",
"surface": "carpet",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-15T12:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.09,
"p2": 1.24
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.23,
"p2": 1.3
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3916,
"prob_p2": 0.6084,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6084,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 2867,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 45,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 68.18181818181817,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.51,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Patrik Homola"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "David Schwarc"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "David Knesl"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Patrik Homola"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Gabriel Tacanho"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:59.855839+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.87,
"utr_ranking": 1227,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 35,
"utr_v4_losses": 24,
"utr_v4_wr": 59.32203389830508,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.99,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.03,
"opponent_name": "Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Eder Blanco Fernandez de Leceta"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.86,
"opponent_name": "David Naharro"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.12,
"opponent_name": "Pieter De Lange"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.7,
"opponent_name": "Ilya Ignatov"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:23.888699+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 2867,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.87,
"ranking": 1227,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.38687729834718293,
"utr_p2": 0.5752941176470588,
"utr_diff": -1.6015429640489458,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 69.38775510204083,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.25,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -19.387755102040828,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -13.247685422337781,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.143358845739213,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -27.040816326530617,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}