Vitek Horak vs Louis Van Herck
UTR PTT Olomouc Men 08 | Carpet |
15 Dic 2025, 16:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Louis Van Herck
Vitek …: 39,2% Louis …: 60,8%
¿Por qué Louis Van Herck?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,87 (-1,60) — Ligera ventaja
Vitek …
W45-L21
68% WR
vs UTR 11,5
L1
Louis …
W35-L24
59% WR
vs UTR 12,0
W3
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Vitek … Louis … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,75 1,25 26,7%
Gamdom 3,09 1,24 32,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,55 1,64 39,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Vitek …: +14,2% Louis …: -14,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vitek Horak
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2867
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Louis Van Herck
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,87 Pro
UTR Ranking #1227
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Vitek Horak
Record 2025 45W - 21L (68%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,5
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Louis Van Herck
Record 2025 35W - 24L (59%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 12,0
Últimos 5:
W W W L W
Análisis Momentum
Louis Van Herck en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2500
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 69,3878
momentum_diff -19,3878
weighted_momentum_diff -27,0408
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 4,1434
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,6015
utr_p1 0,3869
utr_p2 0,5753
utr_advantage -13,2477
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19659
API ID 15213798
Gamdom ID 524574
Torneo UTR PTT Olomouc Men 08
Superficie Carpet
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19659,
    "api_id": 15213798,
    "gamdom_id": 524574,
    "player1": "Vitek Horak",
    "player2": "Louis Van Herck",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Olomouc Men 08",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-15T12:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.09,
      "p2": 1.24
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.23,
      "p2": 1.3
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3916,
    "prob_p2": 0.6084,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6084,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2867,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 45,
      "utr_v4_losses": 21,
      "utr_v4_wr": 68.18181818181817,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.51,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Patrik Homola"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "David Schwarc"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "David Knesl"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Patrik Homola"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriel Tacanho"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:59.855839+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.87,
      "utr_ranking": 1227,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 35,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 59.32203389830508,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.99,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.03,
          "opponent_name": "Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eder Blanco Fernandez de Leceta"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.86,
          "opponent_name": "David Naharro"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.12,
          "opponent_name": "Pieter De Lange"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.7,
          "opponent_name": "Ilya Ignatov"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:23.888699+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2867,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.87,
      "ranking": 1227,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5752941176470588,
    "utr_diff": -1.6015429640489458,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 69.38775510204083,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.25,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -19.387755102040828,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -13.247685422337781,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.143358845739213,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -27.040816326530617,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}