Karla Popovic vs Kamilla Bartone
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08 | Clay |
17 Dic 2025, 19:10
17 Dic 2025, 19:10
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kamilla Bartone
Karla …: 32,9%
Kamilla …: 67,1%
¿Por qué Kamilla Bartone?
UTR 9,67 vs 10,80
(-1,32)
— Ligera ventaja
Karla …
W10-L10
50% WR
vs UTR 9,2
L6
Kamilla …
W31-L16
66% WR
vs UTR 10,3
W3
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Karla … | Kamilla … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 6,50 | 1,10 | 15,4% |
| Gamdom | 5,19 | 1,06 | 19,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,04 | 1,49 | 32,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Karla …: +18,4%
Kamilla …: -18,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karla Popovic
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,67 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1208
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (8p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Kamilla Bartone
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#611
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Karla Popovic
Record 2025
10W - 10L (50%)
Racha
6L
UTR Oponentes
9,2
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
L
Kamilla Bartone
Record 2025
31W - 16L (66%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
10,3
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Kamilla Bartone viene en racha ganadora (3W) mientras Karla Popovic perdió 6 seguidos.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 44,4444 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -5,5556 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,3333 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,9365 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,3200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,1788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3341 | |
| utr_advantage | -12,9666 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19713
API ID
15215117
Gamdom ID
525829
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19713,
"api_id": 15215117,
"gamdom_id": 525829,
"player1": "Karla Popovic",
"player2": "Kamilla Bartone",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-17T15:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 6.5,
"p2": 1.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 5.19,
"p2": 1.06
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 6.97,
"p2": 1.08
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3289,
"prob_p2": 0.6711,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6711,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.67,
"utr_ranking": 1208,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 10,
"utr_v4_losses": 10,
"utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 6,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.23,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Eva Busaad"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.33,
"opponent_name": "Daria Yesypchuk"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.68,
"opponent_name": "Mirjana Jovanovic"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Vera Zvonareva"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Nina KRUIJER"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:05.725025+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.8,
"utr_ranking": 611,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 31,
"utr_v4_losses": 16,
"utr_v4_wr": 65.95744680851064,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.31,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.74,
"opponent_name": "Nina Sozaonova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.92,
"opponent_name": "Sofia Martianova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Rositsa Dencheva"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.83,
"opponent_name": "Stephanie Judith Visscher"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Anastasiya Kolyada"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:04.680198+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.67,
"ranking": 1208,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.8,
"ranking": 611,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.17882352941176466,
"utr_p2": 0.3341176470588235,
"utr_diff": -1.3200000000000003,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 44.44444444444445,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -5.55555555555555,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -12.966601178781929,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.9364973635414415,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.333333333333336,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}