Karla Popovic vs Kamilla Bartone
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08 | Clay |
17 Dic 2025, 19:10
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kamilla Bartone
Karla …: 32,9% Kamilla …: 67,1%
¿Por qué Kamilla Bartone?
UTR 9,67 vs 10,80 (-1,32) — Ligera ventaja
Karla …
W10-L10
50% WR
vs UTR 9,2
L6
Kamilla …
W31-L16
66% WR
vs UTR 10,3
W3
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Karla … Kamilla … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 6,50 1,10 15,4%
Gamdom 5,19 1,06 19,3%
IA Fair Odds 3,04 1,49 32,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Karla …: +18,4% Kamilla …: -18,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karla Popovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,67 Pro
UTR Ranking #1208
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (8p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Kamilla Bartone
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #611
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Karla Popovic
Record 2025 10W - 10L (50%)
Racha 6L
UTR Oponentes 9,2
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Kamilla Bartone
Record 2025 31W - 16L (66%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 10,3
Últimos 5:
W W W L L
Análisis Momentum
Kamilla Bartone viene en racha ganadora (3W) mientras Karla Popovic perdió 6 seguidos.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1667
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 44,4444
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -5,5556
weighted_momentum_diff 8,3333
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 4,9365
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,3200
utr_p1 0,1788
utr_p2 0,3341
utr_advantage -12,9666
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19713
API ID 15215117
Gamdom ID 525829
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08
Superficie Clay
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19713,
    "api_id": 15215117,
    "gamdom_id": 525829,
    "player1": "Karla Popovic",
    "player2": "Kamilla Bartone",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-17T15:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 6.5,
      "p2": 1.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 5.19,
      "p2": 1.06
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 6.97,
      "p2": 1.08
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3289,
    "prob_p2": 0.6711,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6711,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.67,
      "utr_ranking": 1208,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 10,
      "utr_v4_losses": 10,
      "utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.23,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eva Busaad"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.33,
          "opponent_name": "Daria Yesypchuk"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.68,
          "opponent_name": "Mirjana Jovanovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vera Zvonareva"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nina KRUIJER"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:05.725025+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.8,
      "utr_ranking": 611,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 31,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 65.95744680851064,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.31,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.74,
          "opponent_name": "Nina Sozaonova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.92,
          "opponent_name": "Sofia Martianova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Rositsa Dencheva"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.83,
          "opponent_name": "Stephanie Judith Visscher"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Anastasiya Kolyada"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:04.680198+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.67,
      "ranking": 1208,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.8,
      "ranking": 611,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.17882352941176466,
    "utr_p2": 0.3341176470588235,
    "utr_diff": -1.3200000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 44.44444444444445,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -5.55555555555555,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -12.966601178781929,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.9364973635414415,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 8.333333333333336,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}