Mariia Hlahola vs Kamilla Bartone
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08 | Clay |
17 Dic 2025, 13:00
17 Dic 2025, 13:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kamilla Bartone
Mariia …: 37,6%
Kamilla …: 62,4%
¿Por qué Kamilla Bartone?
UTR 9,00 vs 10,80
(-1,84)
— Ligera ventaja
Mariia …
W28-L28
50% WR
vs UTR 9,4
W1
Kamilla …
W31-L16
66% WR
vs UTR 10,3
W3
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mariia … | Kamilla … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 6,50 | 1,10 | 15,4% |
| Gamdom | 4,90 | 1,07 | 20,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,66 | 1,60 | 37,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mariia …: +23,1%
Kamilla …: -23,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mariia Hlahola
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2196
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Kamilla Bartone
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#611
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Mariia Hlahola
Record 2025
28W - 28L (50%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
9,4
Últimos 5:
W
L
L
W
W
Kamilla Bartone
Record 2025
31W - 16L (66%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
10,3
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Kamilla Bartone en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 77,7778 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 27,7778 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 33,3333 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,0899 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,8400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3341 | |
| utr_advantage | -18,5484 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19717
API ID
15215121
Gamdom ID
525828
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19717,
"api_id": 15215121,
"gamdom_id": 525828,
"player1": "Mariia Hlahola",
"player2": "Kamilla Bartone",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-17T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 6.5,
"p2": 1.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.9,
"p2": 1.07
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 6.38,
"p2": 1.09
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3762,
"prob_p2": 0.6238,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6238,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 2196,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 28,
"utr_v4_losses": 28,
"utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.44,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Charlotte Ruud"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Sara Suchankova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Allie Bittner"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Alessandra Teodosescu"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.85,
"opponent_name": "Rinon Okuwaki"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:36.624313+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.8,
"utr_ranking": 611,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 31,
"utr_v4_losses": 16,
"utr_v4_wr": 65.95744680851064,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.31,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.74,
"opponent_name": "Nina Sozaonova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.92,
"opponent_name": "Sofia Martianova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Rositsa Dencheva"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.83,
"opponent_name": "Stephanie Judith Visscher"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Anastasiya Kolyada"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:04.680198+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 2196,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.8,
"ranking": 611,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.3341176470588235,
"utr_diff": -1.8399999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.77777777777777,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 27.77777777777777,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -18.548387096774192,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.089857512298888,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 33.33333333333334,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}