Milana Zhabrailova vs Elizabeth Jurna
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08 | Clay |
17 Dic 2025, 20:05
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Milana Zhabrailova
Milana …: 69,4% Elizabeth …: 30,6%
¿Por qué Milana Zhabrailova?
UTR 10,79 vs 9,00 (+1,75) — Ligera ventaja
Milana …
W32-L26
55% WR
vs UTR 10,4
W1
Elizabeth …
W17-L37
31% WR
vs UTR 9,4
L2
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Milana … Elizabeth … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,06 8,00 94,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,44 3,27 69,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Milana …: -18,8% Elizabeth …: +18,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Milana Zhabrailova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #615
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 86% (7p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Elizabeth Jurna
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #3697
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 14% (7p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Milana Zhabrailova
Record 2025 32W - 26L (55%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 10,4
Últimos 5:
W L W L W
Elizabeth Jurna
Record 2025 17W - 37L (31%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 9,4
Últimos 5:
L L W W L
Análisis Momentum
Milana Zhabrailova ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 10,4 vs 9,4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 1,0000
last3_wr_diff 1,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 100,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 75,0000
current_streak_diff 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,1711
serve_consistency_p2 5,4655
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,7500
utr_p1 0,3235
utr_p2 0,1176
utr_advantage 17,7215
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19734
API ID 15215132
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08
Superficie Clay
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19734,
    "api_id": 15215132,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Milana Zhabrailova",
    "player2": "Elizabeth Jurna",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-17T16:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0625,
      "p2": 8.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 8.25
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6944,
    "prob_p2": 0.3056,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6944,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.79,
      "utr_ranking": 615,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 32,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 55.172413793103445,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.43,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.01,
          "opponent_name": "Katy Dunne"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.39,
          "opponent_name": "Anastasiia Sobolieva"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.56,
          "opponent_name": "Adithya Karunaratne"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.52,
          "opponent_name": "Britt Du Pree"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.37,
          "opponent_name": "Ylena In-Albon"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:51.210972+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 85.71428571428571,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3697,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 17,
      "utr_v4_losses": 37,
      "utr_v4_wr": 31.48148148148148,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.41,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.33,
          "opponent_name": "Daria Yesypchuk"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.56,
          "opponent_name": "Adithya Karunaratne"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.49,
          "opponent_name": "Min Liu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.65,
          "opponent_name": "Mariia Nozdrachova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.36,
          "opponent_name": "Marta Soriano Santiago"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:11.241700+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 14.285714285714285,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.79,
      "ranking": 615,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 3697,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3235294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 1.75,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 1.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 99.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 17.72151898734177,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.171057252526447,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.465472405639778,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 75.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}