Matteo Berrettini vs Tallon Griekspoor
Doha | Hard | Round of 16
19 Feb 2025, 17:15
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Matteo … Tallon … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Berrettini
Ranking #56
UTR Rating 15.78 Pro
UTR Ranking #29
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Hard 25/47 = 53.2%
Tallon Griekspoor
Ranking #25
UTR Rating 15.64 Pro
UTR Ranking #41
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 57% (7p)
WR Hard 32/63 = 50.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -31.0000
rank_ratio 0.4464
log_rank_ratio -0.8065
rank_tier_advantage -1.0000
points_diff -670.0000
best_rank_diff 15.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 3.4810
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2.1949
surface_matches_ratio 0.7460
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 53.2895
surface_wr_p2 49.8085
surface_wr_p1_stable 52.9412
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.7463
p1_surface_matches 47.0000
p2_surface_matches 63.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0638
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3.9993
first_serve_won_diff -0.1174
second_serve_won_diff -1.8872
bp_saved_diff -0.4498
bp_converted_diff 8.9244
aces_per_match_diff 2.3120
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.2000
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 48.0000
momentum_p2 62.0000
momentum_diff -14.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2.7340
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff -1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1.0000
h2h_matches 1.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.0000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.0255
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.8199
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5294
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5556
serve_consistency_p1 9.2550
serve_consistency_p2 4.1559
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2.8073
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0639
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.0329
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.1400
utr_p1 0.9153
utr_p2 0.8988
utr_advantage 0.8912
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 1974
API ID 13463080
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Doha
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 1974,
    "api_id": 13463080,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Matteo Berrettini",
    "player2": "Tallon Griekspoor",
    "tournament": "Doha",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-02-19T17:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 56,
      "utr_singles": 15.78,
      "utr_ranking": 29,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.191489361702125,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 47,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 25,
      "utr_singles": 15.64,
      "utr_ranking": 41,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.79365079365079,
      "wr_surface_wins": 32,
      "wr_surface_total": 63,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.78,
      "ranking": 29,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.64,
      "ranking": 41,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -31,
    "rank_ratio": 0.44642857142857145,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.8064758658669484,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "points_diff": -670,
    "best_rank_diff": 15,
    "surface_wr_diff": 3.48100594227504,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.194907813871822,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.746031746031746,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.28947368421052,
    "surface_wr_p2": 49.80846774193548,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.74626865671642,
    "p1_surface_matches": 47,
    "p2_surface_matches": 63,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06382978723404255,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.999250106112058,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.1174034380305784,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.8871540747028845,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.4498334040747096,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.92443972835314,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.3120490237691005,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_diff": -14.000000000000007,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.734000000000009,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0254777070063694,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8198529411764706,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5555555555555556,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.25496724922457,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.155922001238311,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.8073472813842555,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06389473684210523,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03291532258064522,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.1399999999999988,
    "utr_p1": 0.9152941176470587,
    "utr_p2": 0.8988235294117648,
    "utr_advantage": 0.8911521323997376,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}