Arina Gabriela Vasilescu vs Natalie Salkova
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08 | Clay |
18 Dic 2025, 17:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Arina …: 52,9% Natalie …: 47,1%
¿Por qué Arina Gabriela Vasilescu?
Arina …
Sin datos
Natalie …
W27-L31
47% WR
vs UTR 9,0
L4
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Arina … Natalie … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,07 7,50 93,3%
Gamdom 1,01 6,62 99,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,89 2,12 52,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Arina …: -34,6% Natalie …: +34,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Ranking #-
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (9p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Natalie Salkova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #3189
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Sin datos UTR v4
Natalie Salkova
Record 2025 27W - 31L (47%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 9,0
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1667
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 55,5556
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 5,5556
weighted_momentum_diff 16,6667
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 13,6269
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,3789
utr_p2 0,3789
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19741
API ID 15215115
Gamdom ID 525827
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08
Superficie Clay
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19741,
    "api_id": 15215115,
    "gamdom_id": 525827,
    "player1": "Arina Gabriela Vasilescu",
    "player2": "Natalie Salkova",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-18T13:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0714285714285714,
      "p2": 7.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.01,
      "p2": 6.62
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 8.42
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5287,
    "prob_p2": 0.4713,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5287,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3189,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 27,
      "utr_v4_losses": 31,
      "utr_v4_wr": 46.55172413793103,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.04,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.49,
          "opponent_name": "Adela Polakovicova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.28,
          "opponent_name": "Karolina Vlckova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vanda Vargova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Veronika Kulhava"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.62,
          "opponent_name": "Dominika Pirohova"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:56.859076+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 3189,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3789465560172772,
    "utr_p2": 0.3789465560172772,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 5.555555555555557,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.626884208589898,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 16.66666666666667,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}