Vanesa Suarez vs Carlota Moreno
UTR PTT Knoxville Women 05 | Hard | Semifinals
13 Dic 2025, 19:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Vanesa Suarez
Vanesa …: 63,9% Carlota …: 36,1%
¿Por qué Vanesa Suarez?
UTR 10,00 vs 10,00 — Niveles similares
Vanesa …
W26-L16
62% WR
vs UTR 9,7
L2
Carlota …
W68-L21
76% WR
vs UTR 9,0
W5
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Vanesa … Carlota … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,56 2,77 63,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vanesa Suarez
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 General
UTR Ranking #1294
Forma L5 100% (4p)
Forma L10 100% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Carlota Moreno
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 Junior
UTR Ranking #72
Forma L5 100% (4p)
Forma L10 100% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Vanesa Suarez
Record 2025 26W - 16L (62%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 9,7
Últimos 5:
L L W W W
Carlota Moreno
Record 2025 68W - 21L (76%)
Racha 5W
UTR Oponentes 9,0
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Carlota Moreno viene en racha ganadora (5W) mientras Vanesa Suarez perdió 2 seguidos.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 25,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,5333
surface_matches_ratio 4,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 25,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 30,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 4,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3533
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 38,6600
first_serve_won_diff 49,1000
second_serve_won_diff 43,7000
bp_saved_diff 27,6000
bp_converted_diff 56,5000
aces_per_match_diff 0,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,6204
serve_consistency_p2 7,6350
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2500
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,2353
utr_p2 0,2353
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19750
API ID 15215962
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Knoxville Women 05
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19750,
    "api_id": 15215962,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Vanesa Suarez",
    "player2": "Carlota Moreno",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Knoxville Women 05",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-13T15:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6393,
    "prob_p2": 0.3607,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6393,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1294,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 26,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.904761904761905,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.68,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.27,
          "opponent_name": "Xinyi Nong"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Zoe Hammond"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.28,
          "opponent_name": "Francesca Mattioli"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Skylar Kasday"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:55.661338+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 72,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 68,
      "utr_v4_losses": 21,
      "utr_v4_wr": 76.40449438202246,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 5,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.0,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Addison Cassidy"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriella Sadowski"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kylie Liu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Malea Diehn"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Carrie-Anne Hoo"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:44.281645+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 1294,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 72,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 27.6,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 25.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 56.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 4,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 38.660000000000004,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 49.1,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.620398955469451,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.634997014021328,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 30.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 43.7,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.25,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.533333333333333,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}