Michael Wright vs Stijn Paardekooper
UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 02 | Hard |
19 Dic 2025, 05:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stijn Paardekooper
Michael …: 38,1% Stijn …: 61,9%
¿Por qué Stijn Paardekooper?
UTR 12,00 vs 13,06 (-1,24) — Ligera ventaja
Michael …
W14-L17
45% WR
vs UTR 11,7
W1
Stijn …
W104-L36
74% WR
vs UTR 12,5
W3
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Michael … Stijn … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,33 1,20 23,1%
Gamdom 1,05 5,78 95,2%
IA Fair Odds 2,63 1,61 38,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Michael …: +16,4% Stijn …: -16,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Michael Wright
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2341
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 25% (8p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Stijn Paardekooper
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #1044
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 63% (8p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Michael Wright
Record 2025 14W - 17L (45%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
W L W L L
Stijn Paardekooper
Record 2025 104W - 36L (74%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 12,5
Últimos 5:
W W W L W
Análisis Momentum
Stijn Paardekooper en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -52,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -39,0000
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,6941
serve_consistency_p2 6,1076
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,2400
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,6165
utr_advantage -9,8257
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19754
API ID 15216699
Gamdom ID 526152
Torneo UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 02
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19754,
    "api_id": 15216699,
    "gamdom_id": 526152,
    "player1": "Michael Wright",
    "player2": "Stijn Paardekooper",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-19T01:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.333333333333334,
      "p2": 1.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 5.78
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.29,
      "p2": 1.19
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3807,
    "prob_p2": 0.6193,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6193,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2341,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 14,
      "utr_v4_losses": 17,
      "utr_v4_wr": 45.16129032258064,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.73,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sergej Zivkovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sebastian Sec"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jordan Chang"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.8,
          "opponent_name": "Andreas Timini"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.82,
          "opponent_name": "Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:48.828680+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.06,
      "utr_ranking": 1044,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 104,
      "utr_v4_losses": 36,
      "utr_v4_wr": 74.28571428571429,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.51,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Hikaru Takahashi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oren Ezerzer"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.64,
          "opponent_name": "Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.11,
          "opponent_name": "Ryan Fishback"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.03,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriele Vulpitta"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:41.739445+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 62.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2341,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.06,
      "ranking": 1044,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.6164705882352941,
    "utr_diff": -1.2400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -52.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -9.825673534072902,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.694115966694572,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.107627764321635,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -39.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}