Leonardo Borrelli vs Joaquin Bianchi
UTR PTT Phan Thiet Men +H 01 | Hard | Final
14 Dic 2025, 06:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Leonardo Borrelli
Leonardo …: 64,2% Joaquin …: 35,8%
¿Por qué Leonardo Borrelli?
UTR 12,31 vs 12,00 (+1,61) — Ligera ventaja
Leonardo …
W24-L22
52% WR
vs UTR 12,1
W1
Joaquin …
W27-L20
57% WR
vs UTR 11,4
L2
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Leonardo … Joaquin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 2,75 71,4%
Gamdom 1,34 2,60 74,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,56 2,79 64,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Leonardo …: -2,1% Joaquin …: +2,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Leonardo Borrelli
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking #1710
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Joaquin Bianchi
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1942
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Leonardo Borrelli
Record 2025 24W - 22L (52%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,1
Últimos 5:
W L L W L
Joaquin Bianchi
Record 2025 27W - 20L (57%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 11,4
Últimos 5:
L L W L L
Análisis Momentum
Leonardo Borrelli ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,1 vs 11,4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 48,9796
momentum_diff 29,0204
weighted_momentum_diff 21,7653
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 23,4108
serve_consistency_p2 5,3817
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,6100
utr_p1 0,5424
utr_p2 0,3529
utr_advantage 13,6383
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19774
API ID 15217398
Gamdom ID 526342
Torneo UTR PTT Phan Thiet Men +H 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19774,
    "api_id": 15217398,
    "gamdom_id": 526342,
    "player1": "Leonardo Borrelli",
    "player2": "Joaquin Bianchi",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Phan Thiet Men +H 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-12-14T02:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.34,
      "p2": 2.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.65
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6417,
    "prob_p2": 0.3583,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6417,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.31,
      "utr_ranking": 1710,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 24,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 52.17391304347826,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.05,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luke Cripps"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sacha Grandvincent"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.41,
          "opponent_name": "Dominik Palan"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.55,
          "opponent_name": "Lawrence Bataljin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.88,
          "opponent_name": "Sergio Callejon Hernando"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:17.739611+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1942,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 27,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.446808510638306,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.36,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jens Holger Nissen"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jean Karim Olivier De Sardan"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Rahul Sachdev"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nathan Gold"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.82,
          "opponent_name": "Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:55.709840+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.31,
      "ranking": 1710,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1942,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5423529411764705,
    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 1.6099999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 48.9795918367347,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 29.020408163265287,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 13.638288860652262,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 23.410817402178733,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.3817301936893465,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 21.765306122448976,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}