Leonardo Borrelli vs Joaquin Bianchi
UTR PTT Phan Thiet Men +H 01 | Hard | Final
14 Dic 2025, 06:30
14 Dic 2025, 06:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Leonardo Borrelli
Leonardo …: 64,2%
Joaquin …: 35,8%
¿Por qué Leonardo Borrelli?
UTR 12,31 vs 12,00
(+1,61)
— Ligera ventaja
Leonardo …
W24-L22
52% WR
vs UTR 12,1
W1
Joaquin …
W27-L20
57% WR
vs UTR 11,4
L2
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Leonardo … | Joaquin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 2,75 | 71,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,34 | 2,60 | 74,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,56 | 2,79 | 64,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Leonardo …: -2,1%
Joaquin …: +2,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Leonardo Borrelli
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1710
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Joaquin Bianchi
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1942
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Leonardo Borrelli
Record 2025
24W - 22L (52%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
12,1
Últimos 5:
W
L
L
W
L
Joaquin Bianchi
Record 2025
27W - 20L (57%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
11,4
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Leonardo Borrelli ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,1 vs 11,4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,9796 | |
| momentum_diff | 29,0204 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 21,7653 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 23,4108 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,3817 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,6100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_advantage | 13,6383 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19774
API ID
15217398
Gamdom ID
526342
Torneo
UTR PTT Phan Thiet Men +H 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19774,
"api_id": 15217398,
"gamdom_id": 526342,
"player1": "Leonardo Borrelli",
"player2": "Joaquin Bianchi",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Phan Thiet Men +H 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-14T02:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.34,
"p2": 2.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.65
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6417,
"prob_p2": 0.3583,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6417,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.31,
"utr_ranking": 1710,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 24,
"utr_v4_losses": 22,
"utr_v4_wr": 52.17391304347826,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.05,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Luke Cripps"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Sacha Grandvincent"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.41,
"opponent_name": "Dominik Palan"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.55,
"opponent_name": "Lawrence Bataljin"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.88,
"opponent_name": "Sergio Callejon Hernando"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:17.739611+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 1942,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 27,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 57.446808510638306,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.36,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Jens Holger Nissen"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Jean Karim Olivier De Sardan"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Rahul Sachdev"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Nathan Gold"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.82,
"opponent_name": "Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:55.709840+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.31,
"ranking": 1710,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 1942,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5423529411764705,
"utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_diff": 1.6099999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 48.9795918367347,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 29.020408163265287,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 13.638288860652262,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 23.410817402178733,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.3817301936893465,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 21.765306122448976,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}