Denise Hrdinkova vs Katerina Mandelikova
UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08 | Carpet | Final
14 Dic 2025, 12:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Katerina Mandelikova
Denise …: 38,4% Katerina …: 61,6%
¿Por qué Katerina Mandelikova?
UTR 10,00 vs 10,30 (-0,25) — Niveles similares
Denise …
W82-L24
77% WR
vs UTR 9,6
L1
Katerina …
W34-L19
64% WR
vs UTR 9,4
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Denise … Katerina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,50 66,7%
Gamdom 1,42 2,30 70,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,61 1,62 38,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Denise …: -24,1% Katerina …: +24,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Denise Hrdinkova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 General
UTR Ranking #963
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 71% (7p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Katerina Mandelikova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,30 General
UTR Ranking #1247
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (5p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Denise Hrdinkova
Record 2025 82W - 24L (77%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 9,6
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Katerina Mandelikova
Record 2025 34W - 19L (64%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 9,4
Últimos 5:
W L L W L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 16,5000
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 7,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,9066
serve_consistency_p2 9,6715
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2500
utr_p1 0,2353
utr_p2 0,2647
utr_advantage -2,4691
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19777
API ID 15217988
Gamdom ID 526712
Torneo UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08
Superficie Carpet
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19777,
    "api_id": 15217988,
    "gamdom_id": 526712,
    "player1": "Denise Hrdinkova",
    "player2": "Katerina Mandelikova",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-12-14T08:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.3
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.48,
      "p2": 2.47
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3838,
    "prob_p2": 0.6162,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6162,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 963,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 82,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 77.35849056603774,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.55,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.4,
          "opponent_name": "Maria Kalyakina"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Zinovia Vaneva"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.2,
          "opponent_name": "Maria Toma"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.6,
          "opponent_name": "Alessia Popescu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.11,
          "opponent_name": "Andrea Obradovic"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:00.474623+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.3,
      "utr_ranking": 1247,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 34,
      "utr_v4_losses": 19,
      "utr_v4_wr": 64.15094339622641,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.4,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ishika Ashar"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.38,
          "opponent_name": "Maddy Zampardo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.23,
          "opponent_name": "Lara Smejkal"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.11,
          "opponent_name": "Alexia Iulia MARGINEAN"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.3,
          "opponent_name": "Maribella Zamarripa"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:07.235047+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 963,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.3,
      "ranking": 1247,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.23529411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.2647058823529412,
    "utr_diff": -0.25,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 7,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 22.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -2.4691358024691357,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.906610068420787,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.67146822068265,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 16.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}