Karolina Vlckova vs Katrin Pavkova
UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08 | Carpet | Final
14 Dic 2025, 11:30
14 Dic 2025, 11:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Karolina Vlckova
Karolina …: 61,3%
Katrin …: 38,7%
¿Por qué Karolina Vlckova?
UTR 10,22 vs 9,00
(+1,28)
— Ligera ventaja
Karolina …
W36-L23
61% WR
vs UTR 9,7
W1
Katrin …
W4-L4
50% WR
vs UTR 9,4
L2
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Karolina … | Katrin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 3,75 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,16 | 3,63 | 86,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,63 | 2,58 | 61,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Karolina …: -13,7%
Katrin …: +13,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karolina Vlckova
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,22 Pro
UTR Ranking
#945
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (5p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
Katrin Pavkova
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2415
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Karolina Vlckova
Record 2025
36W - 23L (61%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
9,7
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
L
Katrin Pavkova
Record 2025
4W - 4L (50%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
9,4
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,6362 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 17,2086 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,2800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_advantage | 13,2780 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19783
API ID
15218577
Gamdom ID
527386
Torneo
UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08
Superficie
Carpet
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19783,
"api_id": 15218577,
"gamdom_id": 527386,
"player1": "Karolina Vlckova",
"player2": "Katrin Pavkova",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08",
"surface": "carpet",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-14T07:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.16,
"p2": 3.63
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.24,
"p2": 3.74
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6126,
"prob_p2": 0.3874,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6126,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.22,
"utr_ranking": 945,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 36,
"utr_v4_losses": 23,
"utr_v4_wr": 61.016949152542374,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.74,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.79,
"opponent_name": "Stefanie Auer"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.42,
"opponent_name": "Patricia Georgiana Goina"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.77,
"opponent_name": "Stella Kovacicova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Erika Nov\u00e1kov\u00e1"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Vanda Vargova"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:06.336790+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 2415,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 4,
"utr_v4_losses": 4,
"utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.41,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Kaya Moe"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Valerie Shue"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Ailem Crespo Azconzabal"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.09,
"opponent_name": "Susana Souhrada"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Reese Frank"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:08.771649+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.22,
"ranking": 945,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 2415,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.26823529411764696,
"utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_diff": 1.2799999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 13.278008298755179,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.636185470608189,
"serve_consistency_p2": 17.208572753208248,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}