Anhelina Kalinina vs Elsa Jacquemot
Limoges, France | Hard | Final
14 Dic 2025, 18:30
14 Dic 2025, 18:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elsa Jacquemot
Anhelina …: 29,1%
Elsa …: 70,9%
¿Por qué Elsa Jacquemot?
UTR 12,11 vs 11,94
(-0,11)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anhelina … | Elsa … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,20 | 61,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,58 | 2,23 | 63,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,44 | 1,41 | 29,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anhelina …: -28,6%
Elsa …: +28,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking
#179
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#77
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
12/21 = 57,1%
Elsa Jacquemot
Ranking
#60
UTR Rating
11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
18/28 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -96,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3806 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,9659 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -582,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 31,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11,1667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,5518 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9184 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46,9388 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,4906 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 49,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,2582 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,6962 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,9006 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,7864 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,2954 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,6699 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6818 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8824 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4545 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,6367 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,8282 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 10,7857 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1010 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0207 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4718 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,9201 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19792
API ID
15175831
Gamdom ID
501143
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19792,
"api_id": 15175831,
"gamdom_id": 501143,
"player1": "Anhelina Kalinina",
"player2": "Elsa Jacquemot",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-14T14:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6153846153846154,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.58,
"p2": 2.23
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.61,
"p2": 2.26
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.291,
"prob_p2": 0.709,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.709,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 179,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 77,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 60,
"utr_singles": 11.94,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.11,
"ranking": 77,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.94,
"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_p2": 0.4717647058823529,
"utr_diff": -0.10999999999999943,
"rank_ratio": 0.38064516129032255,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -582,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.7863569023569,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": -0.9201171058134625,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 31,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.9658876730135273,
"rank_advantage": -96,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.166666666666657,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.2954276094276196,
"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 49,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.258167676767684,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6818181818181818,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8823529411764706,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.6699461279461287,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.696215488215486,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.636742577924632,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.8282280183274153,
"surface_rank_synergy": 10.785745681984379,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.93877551020408,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.490566037735846,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.900558922558922,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9183673469387755,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10099999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02066666666666661,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.551790527531764,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}