Anhelina Kalinina vs Elsa Jacquemot
Limoges, France | Hard | Final
14 Dic 2025, 18:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elsa Jacquemot
Anhelina …: 29,1% Elsa …: 70,9%
¿Por qué Elsa Jacquemot?
UTR 12,11 vs 11,94 (-0,11) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anhelina … Elsa … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,20 61,9%
Gamdom 1,58 2,23 63,3%
IA Fair Odds 3,44 1,41 29,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Anhelina …: -28,6% Elsa …: +28,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking #179
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #77
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 12/21 = 57,1%
Elsa Jacquemot
Ranking #60
UTR Rating 11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #122
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 18/28 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -96,0000
rank_ratio 0,3806
log_rank_ratio -0,9659
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -582,0000
best_rank_diff 31,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -11,1667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11,5518
surface_matches_ratio 0,9184
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,5000
surface_wr_p2 61,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 46,9388
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,4906
p1_surface_matches 45,0000
p2_surface_matches 49,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,2582
first_serve_won_diff -4,6962
second_serve_won_diff -1,9006
bp_saved_diff -8,7864
bp_converted_diff 0,2954
aces_per_match_diff -2,6699
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6818
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8824
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4545
serve_consistency_p1 5,6367
serve_consistency_p2 2,8282
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 10,7857
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1010
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0207
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1100
utr_p1 0,4588
utr_p2 0,4718
utr_advantage -0,9201
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19792
API ID 15175831
Gamdom ID 501143
Torneo Limoges, France
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19792,
    "api_id": 15175831,
    "gamdom_id": 501143,
    "player1": "Anhelina Kalinina",
    "player2": "Elsa Jacquemot",
    "tournament": "Limoges, France",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-12-14T14:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6153846153846154,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.58,
      "p2": 2.23
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.61,
      "p2": 2.26
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.291,
    "prob_p2": 0.709,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.709,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 179,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 77,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 60,
      "utr_singles": 11.94,
      "utr_ranking": 122,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.11,
      "ranking": 77,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.94,
      "ranking": 122,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.45882352941176474,
    "utr_p2": 0.4717647058823529,
    "utr_diff": -0.10999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 0.38064516129032255,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -582,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.7863569023569,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": -0.9201171058134625,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 31,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.9658876730135273,
    "rank_advantage": -96,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -11.166666666666657,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.2954276094276196,
    "p1_surface_matches": 45,
    "p2_surface_matches": 49,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.258167676767684,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6818181818181818,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8823529411764706,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.6699461279461287,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.696215488215486,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.636742577924632,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.8282280183274153,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 10.785745681984379,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.93877551020408,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.490566037735846,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.900558922558922,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9183673469387755,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10099999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02066666666666661,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.551790527531764,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}