Alexander Kotzen vs Jose Garcia
UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05 | Hard | Final
14 Dic 2025, 18:00
14 Dic 2025, 18:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Kotzen
Alexander …: 74,8%
Jose …: 25,2%
¿Por qué Alexander Kotzen?
UTR 13,75 vs 13,00
(+1,75)
— Ligera ventaja
Alexander …
W48-L20
71% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Jose …
W41-L23
64% WR
vs UTR 12,3
W4
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Jose … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,17 | 4,50 | 85,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,14 | 4,07 | 87,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,34 | 3,96 | 74,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: -4,6%
Jose …: +4,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Kotzen
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#517
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (5p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Jose Garcia
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1433
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alexander Kotzen
Record 2025
48W - 20L (71%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,9
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
W
Jose Garcia
Record 2025
41W - 23L (64%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
12,3
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Jose Garcia en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 20,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,5956 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 5,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 32,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3400 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 19,3845 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 20,7550 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 18,6900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,2400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -51,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,7000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,0911 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,0236 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,7500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 13,5922 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19793
API ID
15219404
Gamdom ID
527732
Torneo
UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19793,
"api_id": 15219404,
"gamdom_id": 527732,
"player1": "Alexander Kotzen",
"player2": "Jose Garcia",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-14T14:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1666666666666667,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.14,
"p2": 4.07
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.17,
"p2": 4.42
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7477,
"prob_p2": 0.2523,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7477,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.75,
"utr_ranking": 517,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 48,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 70.58823529411765,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.92,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.98,
"opponent_name": "Lucas Marionneau"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.6,
"opponent_name": "Nikita Filin"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.95,
"opponent_name": "Henry Searle"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.26,
"opponent_name": "Darwin Blanch"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.65,
"opponent_name": "Kriish Tyagi"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:08.793996+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.0,
"utr_ranking": 1433,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 41,
"utr_v4_losses": 23,
"utr_v4_wr": 64.0625,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.31,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Nathan Pitts"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.91,
"opponent_name": "Nicolas Oliveira"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Luca- Julian HOTZE"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.38,
"opponent_name": "Piotr Siekanowicz"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.02,
"opponent_name": "Clement Lemire"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:57.638062+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.75,
"ranking": 517,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.0,
"ranking": 1433,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6764705882352942,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 1.75,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.23999999999999488,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 19.999999999999996,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 13.592233009708737,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 19.999999999999996,
"bp_converted_diff": -51.7,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 19.384499999999996,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.7000000000000002,
"combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 20.754999999999995,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.09110185146721,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.023613330135337,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 32.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 18.689999999999998,
"surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.30000000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.595555555555555,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}