Indianna Spink vs Milana Zhabrailova
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07 | Hard | Semifinals
14 Dic 2025, 17:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Milana Zhabrailova
Indianna …: 38,4% Milana …: 61,6%
¿Por qué Milana Zhabrailova?
UTR 10,85 vs 10,79 (-0,10) — Niveles similares
Indianna …
W34-L22
61% WR
vs UTR 9,9
W1
Milana …
W32-L26
55% WR
vs UTR 10,4
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Indianna … Milana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,25 1,33 30,8%
Gamdom 3,19 1,23 31,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,60 1,62 38,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Indianna …: +9,3% Milana …: -9,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Indianna Spink
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,85 Pro
UTR Ranking #585
Forma L5 100% (4p)
Forma L10 100% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Milana Zhabrailova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #615
Forma L5 100% (4p)
Forma L10 100% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Indianna Spink
Record 2025 34W - 22L (61%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 9,9
Últimos 5:
W L W L L
Milana Zhabrailova
Record 2025 32W - 26L (55%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 10,4
Últimos 5:
W L W L W
Análisis Momentum
Milana Zhabrailova ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 10,4 vs 9,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,5865
serve_consistency_p2 11,6118
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1000
utr_p1 0,3118
utr_p2 0,3235
utr_advantage -0,9346
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19794
API ID 15219466
Gamdom ID 527747
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19794,
    "api_id": 15219466,
    "gamdom_id": 527747,
    "player1": "Indianna Spink",
    "player2": "Milana Zhabrailova",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-14T13:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.25,
      "p2": 1.3333333333333333
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.19,
      "p2": 1.23
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.21,
      "p2": 1.3
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3841,
    "prob_p2": 0.6159,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6159,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.85,
      "utr_ranking": 585,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 34,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 60.71428571428571,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.87,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.37,
          "opponent_name": "Ella Haavisto"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.78,
          "opponent_name": "Linea Bajraliu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.3,
          "opponent_name": "Carla Tomai"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.9,
          "opponent_name": "Valentina Steiner"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.27,
          "opponent_name": "Kathinka von Deichmann"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:41.683076+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.79,
      "utr_ranking": 615,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 32,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 55.172413793103445,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.43,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.01,
          "opponent_name": "Katy Dunne"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.39,
          "opponent_name": "Anastasiia Sobolieva"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.56,
          "opponent_name": "Adithya Karunaratne"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.52,
          "opponent_name": "Britt Du Pree"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.37,
          "opponent_name": "Ylena In-Albon"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:51.210972+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.85,
      "ranking": 585,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.79,
      "ranking": 615,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.311764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.3235294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.09999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.9345794392523332,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.586454077626563,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.611758368902617,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}