Sara Gvozdenovic vs Karla Popovic
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07 | Hard | Semifinals
14 Dic 2025, 16:10
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Karla Popovic
Sara …: 37,7% Karla …: 62,3%
¿Por qué Karla Popovic?
UTR 9,00 vs 9,67 (-0,52) — Niveles similares
Sara …
W50-L55
48% WR
vs UTR 9,3
W1
Karla …
W10-L10
50% WR
vs UTR 9,2
L6
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sara … Karla … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
Gamdom 2,40 1,39 41,7%
IA Fair Odds 2,65 1,61 37,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Sara …: +2,2% Karla …: -2,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sara Gvozdenovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #2946
Forma L5 25% (4p)
Forma L10 25% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Karla Popovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,67 Pro
UTR Ranking #1208
Forma L5 25% (4p)
Forma L10 25% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sara Gvozdenovic
Record 2025 50W - 55L (48%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 9,3
Últimos 5:
W L W L L
Karla Popovic
Record 2025 10W - 10L (50%)
Racha 6L
UTR Oponentes 9,2
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,8163
momentum_p2 30,6122
momentum_diff 10,2041
weighted_momentum_diff 7,6531
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,5804
serve_consistency_p2 4,2762
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5200
utr_p1 0,1176
utr_p2 0,1788
utr_advantage -5,6156
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19801
API ID 15219476
Gamdom ID 527757
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19801,
    "api_id": 15219476,
    "gamdom_id": 527757,
    "player1": "Sara Gvozdenovic",
    "player2": "Karla Popovic",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-14T12:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.4,
      "p2": 1.39
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.6,
      "p2": 1.43
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3774,
    "prob_p2": 0.6226,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6226,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2946,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 50,
      "utr_v4_losses": 55,
      "utr_v4_wr": 47.61904761904761,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.28,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Lucie Brun"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Aleksandra Iankovskaia"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Olga Molchanova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Judith Hernandez Miranda"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Emma Bousquet"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:29.508667+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.67,
      "utr_ranking": 1208,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 10,
      "utr_v4_losses": 10,
      "utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.23,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eva Busaad"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.33,
          "opponent_name": "Daria Yesypchuk"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.68,
          "opponent_name": "Mirjana Jovanovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vera Zvonareva"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nina KRUIJER"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:05.725025+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 2946,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.67,
      "ranking": 1208,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.17882352941176466,
    "utr_diff": -0.5199999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.816326530612244,
    "momentum_p2": 30.612244897959183,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 10.204081632653061,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -5.615550755939521,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.580434260670492,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.276201121786338,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.653061224489804,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}