Aryna Sabalenka vs Clara Tauson
Dubai | Hard | Round of 16
19 Feb 2025, 14:30
19 Feb 2025, 14:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aryna … | Clara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
12.97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
71/86 = 82.6%
Clara Tauson
Ranking
#12
UTR Rating
12.48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#21
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
53/85 = 62.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 11.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 12.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.4849 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 8100.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 11.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 20.3332 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 19.3134 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0118 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 6.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 83.8636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 63.5304 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 81.1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61.7978 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 86.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 85.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.6512 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3.9667 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1.2022 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.9390 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5.9838 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2.6717 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.2737 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -13.8800 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1751 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0295 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.7222 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4483 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.1263 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 14.2862 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 50.5262 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.3276 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1463 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 20.3332 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.4900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5271 | |
| utr_advantage | 3.8507 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
1982
API ID
13463223
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Dubai
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 1982,
"api_id": 13463223,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
"player2": "Clara Tauson",
"tournament": "Dubai",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-02-19T14:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.97,
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"wr_surface": 82.55813953488372,
"wr_surface_wins": 71,
"wr_surface_total": 86,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.48,
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"wr_surface": 62.35294117647059,
"wr_surface_wins": 53,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
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"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 12.0,
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"best_rank_diff": 11,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 1.011764705882353,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 6,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 81.11111111111111,
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"p1_surface_matches": 86,
"p2_surface_matches": 85,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.6511627906976745,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.9667312141687177,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.202191850941844,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.9389757371007335,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.98376638001637,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.6716743447993423,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.2736640049140053,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -13.88000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
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"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1751412429378532,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.029535864978903,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7222222222222222,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 7.126334949409229,
"serve_consistency_p2": 14.286179041060377,
"surface_rank_synergy": 50.526180819783335,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3276363636363636,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.146304054054054,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 20.333230958230956,
"utr_diff": 0.4900000000000002,
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"utr_advantage": 3.850687622789785,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
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}