Koki Matsuda vs Robin Eldin
UTR PTT Saitama Men 04 | Hard |
17 Dic 2025, 08:45
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Koki Matsuda
Koki …: 74,7% Robin …: 25,4%
¿Por qué Koki Matsuda?
UTR 13,37 vs 12,00 (+2,39) — Ventaja clara
Koki …
W66-L24
73% WR
vs UTR 12,5
L1
Robin …
W35-L21
62% WR
vs UTR 11,0
L2
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Koki … Robin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,07 7,50 93,3%
Gamdom 1,01 7,60 99,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,34 3,94 74,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Koki …: -12,8% Robin …: +12,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Koki Matsuda
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,37 Pro
UTR Ranking #795
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 5/9 = 55,6%
Robin Eldin
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #3563
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 17% (6p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Koki Matsuda
Record 2025 66W - 24L (73%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,5
Últimos 5:
L W L L W
Robin Eldin
Record 2025 35W - 21L (63%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 11,0
Últimos 5:
L L W L L
Análisis Momentum
Koki Matsuda ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,5 vs 11,0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 62,5000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,7481
surface_matches_ratio 8,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,5000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,7778
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 8,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4067
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3533
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 70,0100
first_serve_won_diff 71,3000
second_serve_won_diff 58,7000
bp_saved_diff 53,5000
bp_converted_diff 37,7000
aces_per_match_diff 8,3750
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,5000
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 36,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 15,4980
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1250
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 2,3900
utr_p1 0,6341
utr_p2 0,3529
utr_advantage 19,5982
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19859
API ID 15213325
Gamdom ID 524013
Torneo UTR PTT Saitama Men 04
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19859,
    "api_id": 15213325,
    "gamdom_id": 524013,
    "player1": "Koki Matsuda",
    "player2": "Robin Eldin",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Saitama Men 04",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-17T04:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0714285714285714,
      "p2": 7.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.01,
      "p2": 7.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.06,
      "p2": 7.57
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7465,
    "prob_p2": 0.2535,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7465,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.37,
      "utr_ranking": 795,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 66,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 73.33333333333333,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.51,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.51,
          "opponent_name": "Yusuke Kusuhara"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.08,
          "opponent_name": "Ren Nakamura"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.64,
          "opponent_name": "Yusuke Takahashi"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.02,
          "opponent_name": "Duje AJDUKOVIC"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 14.26,
          "opponent_name": "Abdullah Shelbayh"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:12.468225+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3563,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 35,
      "utr_v4_losses": 21,
      "utr_v4_wr": 62.5,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.0,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.88,
          "opponent_name": "Laurence Teunissen"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.06,
          "opponent_name": "Breno Rossetto Urvaneja"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Stefan MICOV"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Daniel Salazar"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.18,
          "opponent_name": "Rafael Kis Balazs"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:22.065398+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 16.666666666666664,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.37,
      "ranking": 795,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3563,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6341176470588236,
    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 2.3900000000000006,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 53.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 19.598195981959822,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 62.5,
    "bp_converted_diff": 37.7,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 70.00999999999999,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 8.375,
    "combined_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 71.3,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 15.498033856400161,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.77777777777778,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 58.7,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 8.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 36,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.125,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.7481481481481485,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}