Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Damir Džumhur
Rio de Janeiro | Clay | Round of 16
20 Feb 2025, 20:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Camilo … Damir … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranking #49
UTR Rating 14.93 Pro
UTR Ranking #102
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Clay 73/112 = 65.2%
Damir Džumhur
Ranking #65
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 33% (6p)
WR Clay 37/58 = 63.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 16.0000
rank_ratio 1.3265
log_rank_ratio 0.2826
rank_tier_advantage 1.0000
points_diff 203.0000
best_rank_diff -20.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1.0063
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1.7519
surface_matches_ratio 1.9310
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 62.9094
surface_wr_p2 61.9030
surface_wr_p1_stable 64.6552
surface_wr_p2_stable 62.9032
p1_surface_matches 112.0000
p2_surface_matches 58.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.3036
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5.6586
first_serve_won_diff 7.4900
second_serve_won_diff -5.5900
bp_saved_diff 2.8600
bp_converted_diff -4.7000
aces_per_match_diff 1.7953
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.3333
momentum_p1 62.0000
momentum_p2 48.0000
momentum_diff 14.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 13.9660
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 8.0000
match_load_p2 3.0000
match_load_diff 5.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.5417
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.1633
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5405
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.4000
serve_consistency_p1 5.5813
serve_consistency_p2 4.9128
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.2844
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1131
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1350
elite_surface_amplifier 1.0063
UTR
utr_diff 0.0000
utr_p1 0.8153
utr_p2 0.8153
utr_advantage 0.0000
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 0.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 1989
API ID 13463111
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rio de Janeiro
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 1989,
    "api_id": 13463111,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Camilo Ugo Carabelli",
    "player2": "Damir D\u017eumhur",
    "tournament": "Rio de Janeiro",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-02-20T20:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 49,
      "utr_singles": 14.93,
      "utr_ranking": 102,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.17857142857143,
      "wr_surface_wins": 73,
      "wr_surface_total": 112,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 65,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.793103448275865,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 58,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.93,
      "ranking": 102,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 16,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3265306122448979,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.28256697178501045,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "points_diff": 203,
    "best_rank_diff": -20,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.0063264221158903,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.7519466073414947,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.9310344827586208,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.909356725146196,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.903030303030306,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.65517241379311,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.903225806451616,
    "p1_surface_matches": 112,
    "p2_surface_matches": 58,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.30357142857142855,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.658601807549168,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.489999999999995,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.590000000000003,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.8600000000000065,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.700000000000003,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.7953009037745877,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_diff": 14.000000000000007,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 13.965999999999994,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 8,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5416666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.163265306122449,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5405405405405406,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.5812681767380505,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.912772910529434,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.2843546097245313,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11309356725146191,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13503030303030306,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 1.0063264221158903,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "utr_p1": 0.8152941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.8152941176470588,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}