Marcelina Podlinska vs Anastasiia Firman
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07 | Hard | Final
14 Dic 2025, 19:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marcelina Podlinska
Marcelina …: 60,6% Anastasiia …: 39,4%
¿Por qué Marcelina Podlinska?
UTR 10,55 vs 10,41 (+0,27) — Niveles similares
Marcelina …
W43-L25
63% WR
vs UTR 10,3
L1
Anastasiia …
W42-L26
62% WR
vs UTR 9,9
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marcelina … Anastasiia … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,65 2,54 60,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marcelina Podlinska
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,55 Pro
UTR Ranking #763
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Anastasiia Firman
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #848
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Marcelina Podlinska
Record 2025 43W - 25L (63%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 10,3
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Anastasiia Firman
Record 2025 42W - 26L (62%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 9,9
Últimos 5:
W L W L L
Análisis Momentum
Marcelina Podlinska ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 10,3 vs 9,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,0500
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 79,5918
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -12,4082
weighted_momentum_diff -9,3061
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,4478
serve_consistency_p2 19,7642
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2700
utr_p1 0,3153
utr_p2 0,2835
utr_advantage 2,5605
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19958
API ID 15221496
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19958,
    "api_id": 15221496,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Marcelina Podlinska",
    "player2": "Anastasiia Firman",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-12-14T15:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6061,
    "prob_p2": 0.3939,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6061,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.55,
      "utr_ranking": 763,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 43,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 63.23529411764706,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.33,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.24,
          "opponent_name": "Sofya Lansere"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.25,
          "opponent_name": "Mariia Bergen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.54,
          "opponent_name": "Mika Stojsavljevic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.66,
          "opponent_name": "Tyra Caterina Grant"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alexa Karatancheva"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:32.449453+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.41,
      "utr_ranking": 848,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 42,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.76470588235294,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.85,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.8,
          "opponent_name": "Nicole Gadient"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.54,
          "opponent_name": "Laura Mair"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.32,
          "opponent_name": "Hanna Bougouffa"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.22,
          "opponent_name": "Josy Daems"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.68,
          "opponent_name": "Lena Thomas Iglesias"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:20.149741+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.55,
      "ranking": 763,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.41,
      "ranking": 848,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3152941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.2835294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.2699999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 79.59183673469387,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.050000000000000044,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -12.40816326530613,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.5604551920341354,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.44780200499112,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 19.764234403781035,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -9.306122448979593,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}