Marcelina Podlinska vs Anastasiia Firman
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07 | Hard | Final
14 Dic 2025, 19:15
14 Dic 2025, 19:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marcelina Podlinska
Marcelina …: 60,6%
Anastasiia …: 39,4%
¿Por qué Marcelina Podlinska?
UTR 10,55 vs 10,41
(+0,27)
— Niveles similares
Marcelina …
W43-L25
63% WR
vs UTR 10,3
L1
Anastasiia …
W42-L26
62% WR
vs UTR 9,9
W1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marcelina … | Anastasiia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1,65 | 2,54 | 60,6% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marcelina Podlinska
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,55 Pro
UTR Ranking
#763
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Anastasiia Firman
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#848
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Marcelina Podlinska
Record 2025
43W - 25L (63%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
10,3
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
W
Anastasiia Firman
Record 2025
42W - 26L (62%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
9,9
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Marcelina Podlinska ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 10,3 vs 9,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,0500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 79,5918 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,4082 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9,3061 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,4478 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 19,7642 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3153 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2835 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,5605 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19958
API ID
15221496
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19958,
"api_id": 15221496,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Marcelina Podlinska",
"player2": "Anastasiia Firman",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-14T15:15:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6061,
"prob_p2": 0.3939,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6061,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.55,
"utr_ranking": 763,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 43,
"utr_v4_losses": 25,
"utr_v4_wr": 63.23529411764706,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.33,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.24,
"opponent_name": "Sofya Lansere"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.25,
"opponent_name": "Mariia Bergen"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.54,
"opponent_name": "Mika Stojsavljevic"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.66,
"opponent_name": "Tyra Caterina Grant"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Alexa Karatancheva"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:32.449453+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.41,
"utr_ranking": 848,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 42,
"utr_v4_losses": 26,
"utr_v4_wr": 61.76470588235294,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.85,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.8,
"opponent_name": "Nicole Gadient"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.54,
"opponent_name": "Laura Mair"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.32,
"opponent_name": "Hanna Bougouffa"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.22,
"opponent_name": "Josy Daems"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.68,
"opponent_name": "Lena Thomas Iglesias"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:20.149741+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.55,
"ranking": 763,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.41,
"ranking": 848,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3152941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.2835294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.2699999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 79.59183673469387,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.050000000000000044,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -12.40816326530613,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 2.5604551920341354,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.44780200499112,
"serve_consistency_p2": 19.764234403781035,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.306122448979593,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}