Mia Chudejova vs Elizabeth Jurna
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07 | Hard | Final
15 Dic 2025, 13:00
15 Dic 2025, 13:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mia Chudejova
Mia …: 53,8%
Elizabeth …: 46,2%
¿Por qué Mia Chudejova?
UTR 9,00 vs 9,00
— Niveles similares
Mia …
W39-L31
56% WR
vs UTR 9,5
L1
Elizabeth …
W17-L37
31% WR
vs UTR 9,4
L2
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mia … | Elizabeth … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 3,75 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,23 | 3,09 | 81,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,86 | 2,16 | 53,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mia …: -21,2%
Elizabeth …: +21,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mia Chudejova
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1202
Forma L5
25% (4p)
Forma L10
25% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Elizabeth Jurna
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#3697
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Mia Chudejova
Record 2025
39W - 31L (56%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
9,5
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Elizabeth Jurna
Record 2025
17W - 37L (31%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
9,4
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,6122 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -9,3878 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,0408 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 17,3665 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,1575 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19961
API ID
15221639
Gamdom ID
529288
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19961,
"api_id": 15221639,
"gamdom_id": 529288,
"player1": "Mia Chudejova",
"player2": "Elizabeth Jurna",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-15T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 3.09
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.16,
"p2": 4.73
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5377,
"prob_p2": 0.4623,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5377,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 1202,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 39,
"utr_v4_losses": 31,
"utr_v4_wr": 55.714285714285715,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.48,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.98,
"opponent_name": "Ranah Akua Stoiber"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.61,
"opponent_name": "Anastasiya Kuparev"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.61,
"opponent_name": "Maria Oliver sanchez"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Jinte Eve De boer"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Terezia Perhacova"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:47.623348+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 25.0,
"form_l10_wr": 25.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 3697,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 17,
"utr_v4_losses": 37,
"utr_v4_wr": 31.48148148148148,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.41,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.33,
"opponent_name": "Daria Yesypchuk"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.56,
"opponent_name": "Adithya Karunaratne"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.49,
"opponent_name": "Min Liu"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.65,
"opponent_name": "Mariia Nozdrachova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.36,
"opponent_name": "Marta Soriano Santiago"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:11.241700+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 1202,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 3697,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.612244897959183,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.04999999999999999,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -9.387755102040817,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 17.366510876062538,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.157451622749105,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.040816326530617,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}