Karim Al-Amin vs Sebastian Fanselow
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07 | Hard | Final
15 Dic 2025, 13:00
15 Dic 2025, 13:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sebastian Fanselow
Karim …: 30,0%
Sebastian …: 70,0%
¿Por qué Sebastian Fanselow?
UTR 13,00 vs 13,04
(-1,26)
— Ligera ventaja
Karim …
W30-L30
50% WR
vs UTR 12,4
L1
Sebastian …
W21-L20
51% WR
vs UTR 13,1
W4
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Karim … | Sebastian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,25 | 1,57 | 44,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,16 | 1,52 | 46,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,33 | 1,43 | 30,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Karim …: -11,1%
Sebastian …: +11,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karim Al-Amin
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1460
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Sebastian Fanselow
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1058
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Karim Al-Amin
Record 2025
30W - 30L (50%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,4
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
W
Sebastian Fanselow
Record 2025
21W - 20L (51%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
13,1
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Sebastian Fanselow en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -60,1667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,9877 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,1667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,1481 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -48,5980 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -57,3100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -53,4100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -62,1340 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -45,4040 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,9600 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 69,3878 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,6122 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15,4592 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4444 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,4083 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1,2325 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1017 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,2600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6188 | |
| utr_advantage | -9,9762 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19963
API ID
15221703
Gamdom ID
529463
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19963,
"api_id": 15221703,
"gamdom_id": 529463,
"player1": "Karim Al-Amin",
"player2": "Sebastian Fanselow",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-15T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.5714285714285714
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.16,
"p2": 1.52
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.57
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3003,
"prob_p2": 0.6997,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6997,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.0,
"utr_ranking": 1460,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 30,
"utr_v4_losses": 30,
"utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.43,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.14,
"opponent_name": "Edward Winter"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Mikkel Zinder"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "JanMagnus Johnson"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Antoine Mayoral"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.86,
"opponent_name": "Tomas Luis"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:05.369441+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.04,
"utr_ranking": 1058,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 21,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 51.21951219512195,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.12,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.9,
"opponent_name": "Goncalo Quintela"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.36,
"opponent_name": "Karol Malirz"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.66,
"opponent_name": "Jack Loge"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.25,
"opponent_name": "Joao Domingues"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.17,
"opponent_name": "Alastair Gray"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:31.652872+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.0,
"ranking": 1460,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.04,
"ranking": 1058,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.6188235294117647,
"utr_diff": -1.2599999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 69.38775510204083,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -62.134,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.15000000000000002,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 20.612244897959158,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.16666666666666,
"utr_advantage": -9.976247030878858,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -60.16666666666666,
"bp_converted_diff": -45.403999999999996,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": -48.598,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.96,
"combined_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -57.31,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.408324941117687,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.2325282839362623,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.148148148148145,
"second_serve_won_diff": -53.410000000000004,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.459183673469383,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10166666666666657,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.9876543209876558,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}