Karim Al-Amin vs Sebastian Fanselow
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07 | Hard | Final
15 Dic 2025, 13:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sebastian Fanselow
Karim …: 30,0% Sebastian …: 70,0%
¿Por qué Sebastian Fanselow?
UTR 13,00 vs 13,04 (-1,26) — Ligera ventaja
Karim …
W30-L30
50% WR
vs UTR 12,4
L1
Sebastian …
W21-L20
51% WR
vs UTR 13,1
W4
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Karim … Sebastian … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,25 1,57 44,4%
Gamdom 2,16 1,52 46,3%
IA Fair Odds 3,33 1,43 30,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Karim …: -11,1% Sebastian …: +11,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karim Al-Amin
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,00 General
UTR Ranking #1460
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Sebastian Fanselow
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #1058
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 2/3 = 66,7%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Karim Al-Amin
Record 2025 30W - 30L (50%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,4
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
Sebastian Fanselow
Record 2025 21W - 20L (51%)
Racha 4W
UTR Oponentes 13,1
Últimos 5:
W W W W L
Análisis Momentum
Sebastian Fanselow en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -60,1667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,9877
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 60,1667
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,1481
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,5333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -48,5980
first_serve_won_diff -57,3100
second_serve_won_diff -53,4100
bp_saved_diff -62,1340
bp_converted_diff -45,4040
aces_per_match_diff -1,9600
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1500
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 69,3878
momentum_diff 20,6122
weighted_momentum_diff 15,4592
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4444
serve_consistency_p1 2,4083
serve_consistency_p2 1,2325
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1017
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,2600
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,6188
utr_advantage -9,9762
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19963
API ID 15221703
Gamdom ID 529463
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19963,
    "api_id": 15221703,
    "gamdom_id": 529463,
    "player1": "Karim Al-Amin",
    "player2": "Sebastian Fanselow",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-12-15T09:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.5714285714285714
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.16,
      "p2": 1.52
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.57
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3003,
    "prob_p2": 0.6997,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6997,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1460,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 30,
      "utr_v4_losses": 30,
      "utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.43,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.14,
          "opponent_name": "Edward Winter"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Mikkel Zinder"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "JanMagnus Johnson"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Antoine Mayoral"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.86,
          "opponent_name": "Tomas Luis"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:05.369441+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.04,
      "utr_ranking": 1058,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 21,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 51.21951219512195,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.12,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.9,
          "opponent_name": "Goncalo Quintela"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.36,
          "opponent_name": "Karol Malirz"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.66,
          "opponent_name": "Jack Loge"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.25,
          "opponent_name": "Joao Domingues"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.17,
          "opponent_name": "Alastair Gray"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:31.652872+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.0,
      "ranking": 1460,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.04,
      "ranking": 1058,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.6188235294117647,
    "utr_diff": -1.2599999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 69.38775510204083,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -62.134,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.15000000000000002,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 20.612244897959158,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.16666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": -9.976247030878858,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -60.16666666666666,
    "bp_converted_diff": -45.403999999999996,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": -48.598,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.96,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -57.31,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.408324941117687,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 1.2325282839362623,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.148148148148145,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -53.410000000000004,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.459183673469383,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10166666666666657,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.9876543209876558,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}