Miguel Semedo vs Robert Watzka
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07 | Hard | Final
15 Dic 2025, 13:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Miguel Semedo
Miguel …: 61,1% Robert …: 38,9%
¿Por qué Miguel Semedo?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,00 (+0,33) — Niveles similares
Miguel …
W10-L10
50% WR
vs UTR 12,1
L3
Robert …
W7-L13
35% WR
vs UTR 12,2
L4
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Miguel … Robert … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,40 76,9%
Gamdom 1,24 3,14 80,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,64 2,57 61,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Miguel …: -11,2% Robert …: +11,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Miguel Semedo
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1654
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Robert Watzka
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1773
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Miguel Semedo
Record 2025 10W - 10L (50%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 12,1
Últimos 5:
L L L W L
Robert Watzka
Record 2025 7W - 13L (35%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 12,2
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 22,5000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,1450
serve_consistency_p2 10,4068
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3313
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,4316
utr_advantage 2,7998
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19987
API ID 15222572
Gamdom ID 529758
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19987,
    "api_id": 15222572,
    "gamdom_id": 529758,
    "player1": "Miguel Semedo",
    "player2": "Robert Watzka",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-12-15T09:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.24,
      "p2": 3.14
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.44
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6111,
    "prob_p2": 0.3889,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6111,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1654,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 10,
      "utr_v4_losses": 10,
      "utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.07,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.58,
          "opponent_name": "Sean HODKIN"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.58,
          "opponent_name": "Sean HODKIN"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.57,
          "opponent_name": "Tiago Torres"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Samuel De Felipe Garcia"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.77,
          "opponent_name": "Sam Ryan Ziegann"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:49.393031+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1773,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 7,
      "utr_v4_losses": 13,
      "utr_v4_wr": 35.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.2,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.62,
          "opponent_name": "Roman Postolka"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kristof Minarik"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.99,
          "opponent_name": "Tadija Radovanovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Hugo Magnusson"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.82,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriel Matuszewski"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:21.329185+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1654,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1773,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.4316072501377319,
    "utr_diff": 0.3313383738292792,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.799806588665871,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.1450331587287,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.406815658079461,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 22.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}