Carla Tomai vs Francesca Franchi
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08 | Clay |
16 Dic 2025, 20:30
16 Dic 2025, 20:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Francesca Franchi
Carla …: 38,7%
Francesca …: 61,3%
¿Por qué Francesca Franchi?
UTR 8,30 vs 9,00
(-3,60)
— Ventaja clara
Carla …
W3-L15
17% WR
vs UTR 9,8
L1
Francesca …
W17-L15
53% WR
vs UTR 8,9
W4
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Carla … | Francesca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 6,50 | 1,10 | 15,4% |
| Gamdom | 5,88 | 1,04 | 17,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,58 | 1,63 | 38,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Carla …: +24,2%
Francesca …: -24,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carla Tomai
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
8,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1498
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Francesca Franchi
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1309
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Carla Tomai
Record 2025
3W - 15L (17%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
9,8
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
L
Francesca Franchi
Record 2025
17W - 15L (53%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
8,9
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Francesca Franchi en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -3,5961 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,0353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4584 | |
| utr_advantage | -35,6114 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19988
API ID
15222931
Gamdom ID
529851
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19988,
"api_id": 15222931,
"gamdom_id": 529851,
"player1": "Carla Tomai",
"player2": "Francesca Franchi",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 08",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-16T16:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 6.5,
"p2": 1.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 5.88,
"p2": 1.04
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 6.43,
"p2": 1.09
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3869,
"prob_p2": 0.6131,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6131,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 8.3,
"utr_ranking": 1498,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 3,
"utr_v4_losses": 15,
"utr_v4_wr": 16.666666666666664,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.78,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Khrystyna Vozniak"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Mariana Cunha"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.02,
"opponent_name": "Teresa Franco Dias"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.65,
"opponent_name": "Indianna Spink"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Jinte Eve De boer"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:43.075845+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 1309,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 17,
"utr_v4_losses": 15,
"utr_v4_wr": 53.125,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.92,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Gwendolyn Fedel"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.91,
"opponent_name": "Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.83,
"opponent_name": "Alexandra Irina Anghel"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Madison Frahn"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.75,
"opponent_name": "Mara Gae"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:24.568755+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 8.3,
"ranking": 1498,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 1309,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.035294117647058906,
"utr_p2": 0.4583591743325537,
"utr_diff": -3.5960529818267055,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -35.61144333561207,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}