Matthis Ross vs Maciej Rajski
UTR PTT Newport Beach Men 18 | Hard |
19 Dic 2025, 23:30
19 Dic 2025, 23:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maciej Rajski
Matthis …: 38,9%
Maciej …: 61,1%
¿Por qué Maciej Rajski?
UTR 12,00 vs 13,36
(-1,90)
— Ligera ventaja
Matthis …
W29-L14
67% WR
vs UTR 11,6
W2
Maciej …
W81-L17
83% WR
vs UTR 12,2
W1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matthis … | Maciej … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,50 | 1,17 | 22,2% |
| Gamdom | 4,41 | 1,12 | 22,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,57 | 1,64 | 38,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Matthis …: +18,3%
Maciej …: -18,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matthis Ross
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1898
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Maciej Rajski
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#797
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
78% (9p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Matthis Ross
Record 2025
29W - 14L (67%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
11,6
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
W
L
Maciej Rajski
Record 2025
81W - 17L (83%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
12,2
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Maciej Rajski ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,2 vs 11,6).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -42,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -6,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,2176 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,9027 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4197 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6435 | |
| utr_advantage | -15,1990 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20012
API ID
15216035
Gamdom ID
526071
Torneo
UTR PTT Newport Beach Men 18
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20012,
"api_id": 15216035,
"gamdom_id": 526071,
"player1": "Matthis Ross",
"player2": "Maciej Rajski",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Newport Beach Men 18",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-19T19:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.5,
"p2": 1.1666666666666667
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.41,
"p2": 1.12
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.68,
"p2": 1.15
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3887,
"prob_p2": 0.6113,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6113,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 1898,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 29,
"utr_v4_losses": 14,
"utr_v4_wr": 67.44186046511628,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.57,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Prateek Singla"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Adriano De Oliveira Andrade"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.25,
"opponent_name": "Tomas Pinho"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.21,
"opponent_name": "Rohan Belday"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Joaquin BENOIT"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:43.444220+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.36,
"utr_ranking": 797,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 81,
"utr_v4_losses": 17,
"utr_v4_wr": 82.6530612244898,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.19,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Kosuke Nakanishi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Matteo Huarte"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.38,
"opponent_name": "Carson Baker"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Luca Ostovany"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.98,
"opponent_name": "Iiro Vasa"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:29.466451+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 77.77777777777779,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 1898,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.36,
"ranking": 797,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4196812704823914,
"utr_p2": 0.6435294117647059,
"utr_diff": -1.9027092008996735,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": -39.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -15.199002289561173,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -6,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.217619155700993,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -42.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}