Mitchell Sheldon vs Alexander Simone
UTR PTT Newport Beach Men 18 | Hard |
16 Dic 2025, 23:30
16 Dic 2025, 23:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mitchell Sheldon
Mitchell …: 54,9%
Alexander …: 45,1%
¿Por qué Mitchell Sheldon?
UTR 13,00 vs 11,00
(+0,76)
— Niveles similares
Mitchell …
W20-L16
56% WR
vs UTR 12,3
L2
Alexander …
W23-L15
61% WR
vs UTR 10,2
L1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mitchell … | Alexander … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,03 | 10,00 | 97,1% |
| Gamdom | 1,01 | 7,60 | 99,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,82 | 2,22 | 54,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mitchell …: -35,8%
Alexander …: +35,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mitchell Sheldon
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1393
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Alexander Simone
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#5931
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Mitchell Sheldon
Record 2025
20W - 16L (56%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
12,3
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
W
Alexander Simone
Record 2025
23W - 15L (61%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
10,2
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Mitchell Sheldon ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,3 vs 10,2).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7648 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5659 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4759 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,1542 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20021
API ID
15216050
Gamdom ID
526088
Torneo
UTR PTT Newport Beach Men 18
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20021,
"api_id": 15216050,
"gamdom_id": 526088,
"player1": "Mitchell Sheldon",
"player2": "Alexander Simone",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Newport Beach Men 18",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-16T19:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0303030303030303,
"p2": 10.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.01,
"p2": 7.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.04,
"p2": 11.0
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5488,
"prob_p2": 0.4512,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5488,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.0,
"utr_ranking": 1393,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 20,
"utr_v4_losses": 16,
"utr_v4_wr": 55.55555555555556,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.33,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Jp Day"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.78,
"opponent_name": "Erik Arutiunian"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.64,
"opponent_name": "Joan Torres Espinosa"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.94,
"opponent_name": "Michael Minasyan"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Edouard Aubert"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:52.547812+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 5931,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 23,
"utr_v4_losses": 15,
"utr_v4_wr": 60.526315789473685,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.23,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.14,
"opponent_name": "Noble Renfrow"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Raffael Gasanov"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.72,
"opponent_name": "Ars\u00e8ne Pougault"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Jerry Roddick"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Eric Padgham"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:09.360817+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.0,
"ranking": 1393,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 5931,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5658823529411765,
"utr_p2": 0.47590323933885303,
"utr_diff": 0.7648224656197495,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 6.154230558698118,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}