Learner Tien vs Rafael Jodar
Next Gen Finals | Hard |
17 Dic 2025, 20:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Learner Tien
Learner …: 78,9% Rafael …: 21,1%
¿Por qué Learner Tien?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Learner … Rafael … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 4,00 80,0%
Gamdom 1,25 4,00 80,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,27 4,75 78,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Learner …: +2,7% Rafael …: -2,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Learner Tien
Ranking #29
UTR Rating 15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #24
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 35/50 = 70,0%
Rafael Jodar
Ranking #150
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 22/30 = 73,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 140,0000
rank_ratio 6,0000
log_rank_ratio 1,7918
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1201,0000
best_rank_diff 138,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 19,1967
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,4526
surface_matches_ratio 3,4643
surface_tournaments_won_diff 4,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,0486
surface_wr_p2 51,8519
surface_wr_p1_stable 71,2871
surface_wr_p2_stable 68,7500
p1_surface_matches 97,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4433
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,5316
first_serve_won_diff 3,9717
second_serve_won_diff 4,7802
bp_saved_diff 3,7886
bp_converted_diff 4,3999
aces_per_match_diff 0,0558
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,3333
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 55,5556
momentum_diff 44,4444
weighted_momentum_diff 33,3333
current_streak_diff 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 39,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 133,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6092
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 6,5650
serve_consistency_p2 0,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 34,3959
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0705
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1585
elite_surface_amplifier 38,3935
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,9282
utr_p2 0,9282
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20082
API ID 15222298
Gamdom ID 529649
Torneo Next Gen Finals
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20082,
    "api_id": 15222298,
    "gamdom_id": 529649,
    "player1": "Learner Tien",
    "player2": "Rafael Jodar",
    "tournament": "Next Gen Finals",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-17T16:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.1
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7893,
    "prob_p2": 0.2107,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7893,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 29,
      "utr_singles": 15.57,
      "utr_ranking": 24,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 73.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.57,
      "ranking": 24,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9282352941176472,
    "utr_p2": 0.9282352941176472,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 6.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "points_diff": 1201,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.7886160841147998,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 44.44444444444443,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.04859335038363,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.85185185185185,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 138,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.791759469228055,
    "rank_advantage": 140,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 19.19674149853178,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.399904802500707,
    "p1_surface_matches": 97,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.5315716586151353,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6091549295774648,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.055820782419247816,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.9717391304347984,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.44329896907216493,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.565010353613441,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 0.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 34.395943358317474,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.28712871287128,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.780201761864149,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.4642857142857144,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 33.33333333333333,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 38.39348299706356,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 39,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 133,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07048593350383625,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1585185185185185,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.4525577557755702,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 4
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}