Learner Tien vs Rafael Jodar
Next Gen Finals | Hard |
17 Dic 2025, 20:00
17 Dic 2025, 20:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Learner Tien
Learner …: 78,9%
Rafael …: 21,1%
¿Por qué Learner Tien?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Learner … | Rafael … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 4,00 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,25 | 4,00 | 80,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,27 | 4,75 | 78,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Learner …: +2,7%
Rafael …: -2,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Learner Tien
Ranking
#29
UTR Rating
15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
35/50 = 70,0%
Rafael Jodar
Ranking
#150
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
22/30 = 73,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 140,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,7918 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1201,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 138,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 19,1967 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,4526 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,4643 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,0486 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,8519 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 71,2871 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 68,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 97,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4433 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,5316 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,9717 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,7802 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,7886 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,3999 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0558 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| momentum_diff | 44,4444 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 33,3333 | |
| current_streak_diff | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 39,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 133,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6092 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5650 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 0,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 34,3959 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0705 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1585 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 38,3935 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9282 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
20082
API ID
15222298
Gamdom ID
529649
Torneo
Next Gen Finals
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 20082,
"api_id": 15222298,
"gamdom_id": 529649,
"player1": "Learner Tien",
"player2": "Rafael Jodar",
"tournament": "Next Gen Finals",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-17T16:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 4.1
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7893,
"prob_p2": 0.2107,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7893,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.57,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": null,
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"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 73.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
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},
"p2": {
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"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 6.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"points_diff": 1201,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.7886160841147998,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 44.44444444444443,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.04859335038363,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.85185185185185,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
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"best_rank_diff": 138,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.791759469228055,
"rank_advantage": 140,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 19.19674149853178,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.399904802500707,
"p1_surface_matches": 97,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.5315716586151353,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6091549295774648,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.055820782419247816,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.9717391304347984,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.44329896907216493,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.565010353613441,
"serve_consistency_p2": 0.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 34.395943358317474,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.28712871287128,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.780201761864149,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.4642857142857144,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 33.33333333333333,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 38.39348299706356,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 39,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 133,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07048593350383625,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1585185185185185,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.4525577557755702,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 4
},
"feature_importance": {}
}