Martin Landaluce vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Next Gen Finals | Hard |
17 Dic 2025, 22:20
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Landaluce
Martin …: 76,7% Nicolai …: 23,3%
¿Por qué Martin Landaluce?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Martin … Nicolai … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 1,63 2,29 61,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,30 4,29 76,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Martin …: +26,7% Nicolai …: -26,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Martin Landaluce
Ranking #149
UTR Rating 14,49 Pro
UTR Ranking #176
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 24/40 = 60,0%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking #135
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 25/35 = 71,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 2,0000
rank_ratio 1,0149
log_rank_ratio 0,0148
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 5,0000
best_rank_diff 22,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,5608
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,9309
surface_matches_ratio 2,1875
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,4963
surface_wr_p2 51,9355
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,5135
surface_wr_p2_stable 69,4444
p1_surface_matches 70,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2857
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,9445
first_serve_won_diff 2,4565
second_serve_won_diff -0,2565
bp_saved_diff 7,2148
bp_converted_diff 6,8829
aces_per_match_diff -1,0479
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 15,3100
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 51,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 46,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7059
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4348
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 7,4569
serve_consistency_p2 11,9836
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,1861
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1430
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0214
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7741
utr_p2 0,7741
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 20083
API ID 15222366
Gamdom ID 529650
Torneo Next Gen Finals
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 20083,
    "api_id": 15222366,
    "gamdom_id": 529650,
    "player1": "Martin Landaluce",
    "player2": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
    "tournament": "Next Gen Finals",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-17T18:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.63,
      "p2": 2.29
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.6,
      "p2": 2.35
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.767,
    "prob_p2": 0.233,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.767,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 149,
      "utr_singles": 14.49,
      "utr_ranking": 176,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 135,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.49,
      "ranking": 176,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7741176470588236,
    "utr_p2": 0.7741176470588236,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0149253731343284,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": 5,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.214826820955857,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 20.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.4963144963145,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.93548387096774,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 22,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.014815085785140682,
    "rank_advantage": 2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 12.56083062534676,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.8829159071094494,
    "p1_surface_matches": 70,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.944502100340813,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7058823529411765,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.0478877704684164,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.456463501624782,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.456929711295863,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.983575351755432,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.18608978324713454,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.51351351351351,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.44444444444444,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.2565277007212501,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.1875,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.310000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 51,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 46,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.142963144963145,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02135483870967736,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.930930930930934,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}